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GBP/USD jumps back closer to mid-1.3800s, fresh session tops

  • GBP/USD rebounded from the 1.3800 mark, or two-week lows amid a modest USD weakness.
  • Dovish Fed expectations, the upbeat market mood weighed on the USD and remained supportive.
  • UK political uncertainty might hold bulls from placing aggressive bets and cap any further gains.

The GBP/USD pair rallied around 45 pips during the early European session and refreshed daily tops, around the 1.3845 region in the last hour.

The pair staged a goodish rebound from the 1.3800 mark, or two-week lows touched earlier this Monday and has now recovered a part of the previous session's heavy losses. The uptick was exclusively sponsored by the emergence of some selling around the US dollar, though the UK political jitters might cap the upside for the GBP/USD pair.

The US dollar struggled to capitalize on last week's goodish rebound from the lowest level since February 26 amid expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates low for a longer period. This, along with the underlying bullish sentiment in the financial markets, further undermined the greenback's relative safe-haven status.

Meanwhile, the risk posed by the Scottish elections this week might hold bullish traders from placing any aggressive bets around the GBP/USD pair. Polls are pointing to a supermajority for pro-independence parties in Scotland's parliament, which might intensify pressure on the UK PM Boris Johnson to allow a second independence referendum.

Investors might also prefer to wait on the sideline ahead of the latest monetary policy update by the Bank of England on Thursday. Moreover, the UK banks are closed in observance of May Day. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any meaningful upside amid absent relevant market-moving UK economic releases.

Later during the early North American session, traders might take cues from the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI. Apart from this, a scheduled speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell will influence the USD price dynamics, which might provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3841
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.3828
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3844
Daily SMA501.3872
Daily SMA1001.3762
Daily SMA2001.3427
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3958
Previous Daily Low1.3803
Previous Weekly High1.3976
Previous Weekly Low1.3803
Previous Monthly High1.4009
Previous Monthly Low1.3669
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3862
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3899
Daily Pivot Point S11.3768
Daily Pivot Point S21.3707
Daily Pivot Point S31.3612
Daily Pivot Point R11.3923
Daily Pivot Point R21.4019
Daily Pivot Point R31.4079

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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