|

GBP/USD holds below 1.2500 ahead of BoE rate decision

  • GBP/USD trades on a softer note near 1.2495 in Thursday’s early Asian session. 
  • Fed’s Collins emphasized the need to stay higher for longer, as it will take longer than previously thought to bring inflation down.
  • The BoE is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 5.25% on Thursday. 

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive around 1.2495 on Thursday during the early Asian session. Greenback edges higher for the third consecutive day, which weighs on the major pair. Traders turn to cautious mode ahead of the Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision later in the day, with no change in rate expected. Also, the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims are due on Thursday, followed by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Mary Daly speech. 
 
The Fed officials have offered some cues amid the absence of US top-tier economic data releases earlier this week. On Wednesday, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said it will take longer than previously thought to bring inflation down to the 2% target, emphasizing that the rate will likely stay higher for longer. New York Fed president John Williams and Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari also showed that they favor holding rates at current levels for longer. These hawkish comments from the Fed policymakers provide some support for the US Dollar (USD) and create a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. 

The FOMC committee decided to keep interest rates unchanged last week. The hotter-than-expected US inflation data has kept officials from lowering borrowing costs. Financial markets see under two cuts this year, from as many as six seen at the beginning of 2024.

On the other hand, the BoE is likely to keep the key rate of interest unchanged at 5.25% at its May meeting on Thursday. However, the downward trajectory of the UK’s inflation has triggered speculation that the BoE might cut its rate before the US Fed. Investors will take more cues from the BoE’s Bailey and Pill speeches on Thursday. In the event that the BoE policymakers continue their dovish stance, the Pound Sterling (BoE) might face further depreciation. 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2497
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.2509
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2484
Daily SMA501.2607
Daily SMA1001.2642
Daily SMA2001.2546
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2568
Previous Daily Low1.2501
Previous Weekly High1.2635
Previous Weekly Low1.2466
Previous Monthly High1.2709
Previous Monthly Low1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2526
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2542
Daily Pivot Point S11.2484
Daily Pivot Point S21.2459
Daily Pivot Point S31.2417
Daily Pivot Point R11.2551
Daily Pivot Point R21.2593
Daily Pivot Point R31.2618

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.