|

GBP/USD: Holding tightly above 1.2500 amid Brexit uncertainty

  • Tories keep supporting October 31 Brexit while Labour approaches trade unions to gain support for another referendum, blocking no-deal Brexit.
  • Phillip Hammond stands ready to extend PM May’s legacy program in return for Tory support on blocking no-deal Brexit.
  • Fed speakers, political/trade headlines will be on the spotlight.

Even if some at the ruling Tory party continues to aim for no-deal Brexit, uncertainty surrounding the UK’s exit drag the GBP/USD pair as it takes the rounds to 1.2510 ahead of the London open on Tuesday.

The British Finance Minister Phillip Hammond recently crossed the wires as he offered the present Prime Minister (PM) Theresa May an extension to her legacy projects if she offers Tory support to blocking no-deal Brexit.

On the other hand, the front runner to the PM’s race Boris Johnson said that the Tories don’t need any other party’s support for Brexit while reiterating his previous pledge to crash out of the bloc on October 31.

Elsewhere, the opposition Labour party approached key trade unions in an effort to garner support for another referendum and blocking no deal Brexit if they come to power in general election.

At the US, trade tensions with China remain elevated while investors await fresh clues from the Federal Reserve policymakers, up for speeches during the day, to predict future monetary easing efforts by the US central bank. Among the Fed policymakers, Chairman Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard and the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Chief Raphael Bostic will be on the spotlight.

Given the lack of data, investors will keep an eye over political/trade news headlines for fresh impulse.

Technical Analysis

While 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is near to the oversold conditions, December 2018 low around 1.2480 and the year 2019 bottom close to 1.2440 can trigger the pair’s pullback, if not then chances of witnessing a plunge to 1.2400 can’t be denied. On the upside, 1.2610 and a late-June low around 1.2660 become key resistances for buyers to watch during the pullback.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.
 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Ripple’s DeFi shift in focus: Navigating XRPL EVM sidechain growth, XRPFi migration and liquidity
Ripple (XRP) has continued to trade under pressure, extending its decline by approximately 63% from the record high of $3.66 in July. The remittance token is trading above support at $1.35, while its upside appears limited by key supply zones, starting with $1.40, at the time of writing on Tuesday.
The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.