|

GBP/USD hit a 7-month high but dropped beneath 1.2380 as US bond yields rise

  • GBP/USD printed a new two-day low around 1.2323, though stabilized around 1.2370s, but stayed negative in the day.
  • Money market futures expect the Bank of England would hike 50 bps at its next meeting.
  • US economic docket would be busy, though, featuring GDP, unemployment claims, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is retreating after hitting a seven-month high at 1.2447, though it lacked the strength to hold to the 1.2400 figure and is meandering in the 1.2380s area. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD exchanges hands at 1.2375, below its opening price by a minimal margin.

US Dollar climbs underpinned by high US Treasury yields

Sentiment remains upbeat, as shown by Wall Street’s trading in the green. Factors like a steady US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields holding to its gains weigh the GBP/USD pair. The lack of US and UK economic data keeps investors leaning on last week’s news and expectations for interest rate hikes.

Last week’s UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with inflation staying at 10.5% though eased from 10.7% of its last month’s previous reading. That increased the likelihood of a 50 bps rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE), which according to Reuters, stand at a 70% chance, while a 25 bps rate lift is fully priced in.

In the meantime, National Grid has asked some UK households to cut energy use today and is likely to extend that request to tomorrow due to a drop in wind power coupled with freezing temperatures across the nation.

On the US front, Fed officials entered its blackout period so that traders would lean on the current week’s economic calendar. The US docket will feature Gross Domestic Product (GDP) results for Q4 with around 2.6% QoQ estimates. Also, Flash PMIs, Unemployment Claims, Durable Good Orders, and the Fed’s favorite gauge for inflation, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), would provide fresh impetus to Gold traders.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2369
Today Daily Change-0.0026
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1.2395
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2143
Daily SMA501.211
Daily SMA1001.1724
Daily SMA2001.1978
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2404
Previous Daily Low1.2335
Previous Weekly High1.2436
Previous Weekly Low1.2169
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2378
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2362
Daily Pivot Point S11.2352
Daily Pivot Point S21.2309
Daily Pivot Point S31.2283
Daily Pivot Point R11.2421
Daily Pivot Point R21.2447
Daily Pivot Point R31.249

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).