GBP/USD: Focus on stocks

Risk aversion could hurt GBP and vice versa.
Charts favor further upside in Sterling.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

GBP/USD jumped to 1.4218 last week - the highest level since Feb. 2 on the back of a brexit transitional agreement and strong UK data.

However, cable's jets were cooled by fears of US-China trade war and the resulting risk aversion in the stock markets. The spot ticked higher in Asia and was last seen trading at 1.4164 as the S&P 500 futures jumped 0.5 percent on reports the US and China are working to avert a full-blown trade war.

Focus on stocks

The relief rally in the stocks will likely gather pace if both nations soften their stance on trade. In such a scenario, the GBP/USD pair could revisit and may possibly break above the last week's high of 1.4218. Meanwhile, risk aversion could yield a pullback to 10-day moving average located at 1.4035. It is worth noting that British Pound still ranks last on the list of the anti-risk currencies, courtesy of UK's current account deficit.

Technical bias remains bullish

A sequence of higher highs and lower highs, upward sloping (biased bullish) 5-day MA, 10-day MA and the bullish RSI (above 50.00 and trending) indicates scope for a rally to 1.4278 (Feb. 2 high). A close higher would allow a sustained rally to 1.4345 (recent high). On the downside, breach of support at 1.4107 (5-day MA) could yield a pullback to 1.4036 (10-day MA) and 1.40 (psychological support).

	TREND INDEX	OB/OS INDEX	VOLATILY INDEX
15M		Overbought	Low
1H		Neutral	Shrinking
4H	Bullish	Neutral	Low
1D	Bullish	Neutral	Expanding
1W	Bullish	Neutral	Expanding
Updated Mar 26, 03:00 GMT

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage.

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple show no sign of recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show signs of cautious stabilization on Wednesday after failing to close above their key resistance levels earlier this week. BTC trades below $69,000, while ETH and XRP also encountered rejection near major resistance levels. With no immediate bullish catalyst, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

BNB prolonged correction signals deeper bearish momentum

BNB (BNB), formerly known as Binance Coin, is trading below $618 on Wednesday, marking the sixth consecutive day of correction since the weekend. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets alongside negative funding rates in the derivatives market.