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GBP/USD flirting with daily lows, just above mid-1.2500s

  • Bulls failed to capitalize on last week’s strong upsurge to over three-month tops.
  • Renewed Brexit-related uncertainties exerted some fresh pressure on the Pound.
  • A goodish pickup in the USD demand added to the selling bias around the major.

The intraday selling pressure around the British Pound remained unabated through the early European session on Monday and dragged the GBP/USD pair to daily lows, around the 1.2560-55 region in the last hour.
 
Having faced rejection near the very important 200-day SMA, the pair came under some fresh selling pressure on the first day of a new trading week and eroded a part of Friday's strong upsurge to the highest level since late-June. Renewed concerns that the UK and European leaders may not reach a deal by October 31 Brexit deadline turned out to be one of the key factors exerting fresh downward pressure on the British Pound.

Brexit optimism showing signs of fading rather quickly

It is worth mentioning that the pair on Friday gained some strong follow-through traction and rallied to levels just above the 1.2700 handle after the European Council President Donald Tusk said that we have received promising signals from Ireland’s Leo Varadkar that there could be a deal on Brexit. Together with Thursday's best single-day percentage advance since March, the pair posted the best two days of gains in over a decade.
 
Meanwhile, the optimism seemed to fade rather quickly in reaction to Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney's comments earlier this Monday, saying that a deal is possible but we are still not there yet. Coveney's remarks suggested prevailing differences between the two sides on the border between Ireland and the UK’s Northern Ireland. Hence, the key focus will remain on the EU leaders meeting on Thursday and Friday to see if a deal is still possible before October 31.
 
Apart from Brexit-related uncertainties, the pair was further pressurized by a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand. As investors took a closer look to much-hyped breakthroughs from the crucial high-level US-China trade talks, a slight deterioration in the global risk sentiment seemed to benefit the Greenback's relative safe-haven status against its British counterpart.
 
It will now be interesting to see if the pair is able to attract any buying interest at lower levels or continues with its intraday corrective slide amid absent relevant market-moving economic releases and a US holiday in observance of Columbus Day.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.257
Today Daily Change-0.0078
Today Daily Change %-0.62
Today daily open1.2648
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2382
Daily SMA501.2272
Daily SMA1001.2413
Daily SMA2001.2715
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2707
Previous Daily Low1.2408
Previous Weekly High1.2707
Previous Weekly Low1.2194
Previous Monthly High1.2583
Previous Monthly Low1.1958
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2593
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2522
Daily Pivot Point S11.2468
Daily Pivot Point S21.2288
Daily Pivot Point S31.2168
Daily Pivot Point R11.2768
Daily Pivot Point R21.2887
Daily Pivot Point R31.3067

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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