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GBP/USD extends its downside below 1.2750, US data eyed

  • GBP/USD remains under pressure around 1.2745, losing 0.06% on the day. 
  • US Retail Sales rose 0.6% MoM in February from -1.1% in January, worse than expected. 
  • BoE’s Bailey said central bankers turned to the question of how long they needed to keep rates high as inflation eased. 
  • Investors will focus on US Industrial Production and the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment on Friday. 

GBP/USD extends its downside around the mid-1.2700s during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The major pair drops to multi-day lows near 1.2740 amid the rebound in the Greenback after strong US economic data. Later in the day, traders will monitor the preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment for March, which is expected to remain steady at 76.9. 

Data released from the US Census Bureau on Thursday revealed that US Retail Sales jumped 0.6% MoM in February from a downwardly revised -1.1% in the previous month, below the market consensus of a 0.8% m/m rise. The Retail Sales Control Group was flat at 0% MoM from the previous reading of a 0.3% MoM decline. Additionally, the PPI figure rose 0.6% MoM in February from 0.3% MoM in January, while the Core PPI figure climbed 0.3% MoM from a 0.5% gain in January. 

The stronger US PPI data might convince the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates at a 23-year high for longer than expected. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that rate cuts do remain on the table, but Fed officials will need more evidence of inflation data before considering cutting the interest rate. The high-for-longer rate narrative lifts the US Dollar (USD) and acts as a headwind for GBP/USD. Investors will closely watch the FOMC policy meeting, which is anticipated to hold rates steady for the fifth consecutive meeting.

On the British Pound front, the UK GDP growth numbers expanded by 0.2% MoM in January, indicating the UK exited from a recession. The markets have pushed back expectations for a Bank of England (BoE) rate cut from June to August. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said that central bankers turned to the question of how long they needed to keep interest rates high, given that there are some signs that restrictive policies are working to bring down inflation pressures.

Looking ahead, the US Industrial Production and the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment will be released on Friday. Traders will take cues from the data ahead of the FOMC monetary policy meeting next week. 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2738
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open1.2754
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2702
Daily SMA501.2686
Daily SMA1001.2608
Daily SMA2001.2591
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2823
Previous Daily Low1.2731
Previous Weekly High1.2894
Previous Weekly Low1.2652
Previous Monthly High1.2773
Previous Monthly Low1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2766
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2788
Daily Pivot Point S11.2715
Daily Pivot Point S21.2677
Daily Pivot Point S31.2623
Daily Pivot Point R11.2807
Daily Pivot Point R21.2861
Daily Pivot Point R31.29

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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