|

GBP/USD edges higher as Greenback eases after US PCE and UoM sentiment data

  • The British Pound steadies after a two-day slide, with GBP/USD staging a modest recovery.
  • The US PCE inflation report came broadly in line with forecasts, keeping the Fed’s outlook steady.
  • The core PCE Price Index rose 0.2% MoM, matching expectations, and headline PCE rose 0.3% MoM in August, up from 0.2% in July.

The British Pound (GBP) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with GBP/USD snapping a two-day losing streak. At the time of writing, the pair is hovering near 1.3393, staging a modest recovery after dropping to its weakest level in about seven weeks on Thursday.

Fresh momentum in Sterling came after the release of the August US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which broadly met market forecasts and offered no new hawkish cues for the Federal Reserve (Fed). The data kept the Greenback on the defensive, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major peers, easing slightly from three-week highs to trade around 98.35.

The core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation, rose 0.2% MoM in August, matching forecasts and below July’s originally reported 0.3%, which was revised down to 0.2%. On an annual basis, core PCE held steady at 2.9%, still above the Fed’s 2% target.

The headline PCE Price Index rose 0.3% on the month, in line with expectations and up from 0.2% in July, while the annual rate ticked up to 2.7% in August from 2.6% a month earlier. The report also showed that personal income rose 0.4% in August, slightly above expectations, and personal spending climbed 0.6%, up from 0.5% in July, signaling that US consumer demand remains resilient.

The latest University of Michigan (UoM) survey showed that both consumer sentiment and expectations softened slightly in September, while short and long-term inflation expectations also eased modestly.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said on Friday that while the labor market appears to be softening, the supply of workers is also growing more slowly, which reduces the risk of a sharp spike in unemployment. He stressed that the Fed is now focused on balancing its dual mandate.

Barkin emphasized that future policy moves will hinge on incoming data, saying the Fed may need to tilt a bit more toward its employment mandate following the recent rate cut, which he argued should support the labor market while keeping pressure on inflation.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.22%-0.35%-0.19%0.03%-0.11%0.05%-0.23%
EUR0.22%-0.10%0.14%0.30%0.18%0.33%0.02%
GBP0.35%0.10%0.28%0.40%0.37%0.43%0.08%
JPY0.19%-0.14%-0.28%0.16%0.02%0.19%-0.20%
CAD-0.03%-0.30%-0.40%-0.16%-0.14%0.06%-0.32%
AUD0.11%-0.18%-0.37%-0.02%0.14%0.15%-0.20%
NZD-0.05%-0.33%-0.43%-0.19%-0.06%-0.15%-0.23%
CHF0.23%-0.02%-0.08%0.20%0.32%0.20%0.23%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 with bullish momentum losing steam

The British Pound ticks lower against the US Dollar Monday, attempting to close a seven-day rally, as tensions rise again in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the critical points in the peace process between Washington and Tehran. The GBP/USD pair trades near 1.3340 at the time of writing, down from 1.3387 highs last week, although it maintains a near-term bullish trend intact.

EUR/USD drops toward 1.1400 as US Dollar rebounds

EUR/USD pair trades marginally lower, heading toward 1.1400 in the European session on Monday. The pair faces slight selling pressure as the US Dollar gains ground after a negative weekly close. Middle East concerns and the USD/JPY rally support the Greenback.

Gold hangs near daily low amid Hormuz risks; receding Fed hike bets limit losses

Gold recovers slightly from the daily low, albeit it retains the negative bias, and remains below a two-week high touched earlier this Monday. The US Dollar attracts some safe-haven flows amid tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and undermines the bullion. However, receding US Federal Reserve rate hike bets might hold back USD bulls from placing aggressive bets.

Dogecoin recovery stalls amid early signs of whale support

Dogecoin (DOGE) price nears $0.0770, maintaining a broadly consolidative tone for the last three days after Friday’s 4% rebound. The first-ever meme coin is losing retail interest as DOGE derivatives volume drops, while on-chain data shows early signs that large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, are expanding their holdings.

Week ahead – ISM services PMI and Fed Minutes to shake Fed hike bets
The US dollar is finishing the week on the back foot against most of its major counterparts this week, losing the most ground against the kiwi, the franc and the pound. Despite the pullback, investors remained adamant in their view that the Fed may have to press the rate hike button before the turn of the year.
Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.