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GBP/USD drops to 1.2400 mark, fresh daily low amid sustained USD buying

  • GBP/USD drifts lower for the second straight day amid some follow-through USD buying.
  • Bets for a 25 bps Fed lift-off in June push the US bond yields higher and underpin the USD.
  • The risk-on mood could cap gains for the safe-haven buck and lend support to the major.

The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a weaker note and retreats further from its highest level since May 16, around the 1.2540-1.2545 region touched on Friday. Spot prices extend the steady intraday descent through the early European session and drop to the 1.2400 neighbourhood, or a fresh daily low in the last hour.

The post-NFP US Dollar (USD) bounce from over a one-week low remains uninterrupted amid the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-hike path and drags the GBP/USD pair lower for the second successive day. It is worth recalling that a slew of influential Fed officials last week backed the case for skipping an interest rate hike, though the markets are still pricing in the possibility of another 25 bps lift-off in June.

Moreover, investors scaled back their expectations for an imminent pause in the Fed's rate hiking cycle to July and eased off on bets for rate cuts later in the year following the release of the mixed US monthly employment details on Friday. This remains supportive of a further rise in the US Treasury bond yields and continues to underpin the Greenback, which, in turn, is seen exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

That said, the prevalent risk-on environment might hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the safe-haven buck and lend support to the GBP/USD pair. The passage of legislation to lift the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling to avert an unprecedented American default, along with hopes of a recovery in China, boost investors' confidence and is evident from a generally positive tone around the equity markets.

Apart from this, firming expectations for additional interest rate hikes by the Bank of England (BoE), bolstered by stronger-than-expected UK consumer inflation figures for May, might contribute to limiting losses for the GBP/USD pair. Market participants now look forward to the release of the final UK Services PMI for a fresh impetus ahead of the US ISM Services PMI, due later during the early North American session.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2401
Today Daily Change-0.0049
Today Daily Change %-0.39
Today daily open1.245
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2463
Daily SMA501.2453
Daily SMA1001.23
Daily SMA2001.1994
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2545
Previous Daily Low1.2442
Previous Weekly High1.2545
Previous Weekly Low1.2327
Previous Monthly High1.268
Previous Monthly Low1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2481
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2505
Daily Pivot Point S11.2413
Daily Pivot Point S21.2376
Daily Pivot Point S31.2309
Daily Pivot Point R11.2516
Daily Pivot Point R21.2582
Daily Pivot Point R31.2619

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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