|

GBP/USD climbs to fresh 6-week tops, further beyond 1.3100 handle

   •  Thursday’s softer US CPI figures continue to weigh on the USD.
   •  Brexit optimism remains supportive of the positive momentum.
   •  Carney’s speech/US monthly retail sales eyed for fresh impetus.

The GBP/USD pair finally broke out of its Asian session consolidation phase and refreshed six-week tops in the last hour.

The pair built on its bullish trajectory further beyond the 1.3100 handle, with a combination of supporting factors confirming that the near-term positive momentum remains well intact.

The US Dollar continues to be weighed down by Thursday’s weaker than expected US consumer inflation figures, which coupled with Brexit optimism helped the pair to continue gaining positive traction for the fifth consecutive session.

Meanwhile, the latest leg of a sudden spike over the past hour or so could also be attributed to some fresh technical buying and hence, a follow-through up-move, towards testing 100-day SMA, now looks a distinct possibility.

Next in focus would be the BoE Governor Mark Carney's scheduled speech, which along with the release of US monthly retail sales data might produce some meaningful trading opportunities on the last trading day of the week.

Technical levels to watch

A subsequent up-move beyond mid-1.3100s is likely to get extended towards the 1.3180 region (100-day SMA) ahead of the 1.3200 round figure mark. On the flip side, the 1.3100 handle now becomes an immediate strong support to defend and is followed by support near the 1.3060-50 region.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.