|

GBP/USD: Chance for GBP to test 1.3355 – UOB Group

There is a chance for GBP to test 1.3355; the next support at 1.3315 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, outlook for GBP is negative; it could decline to 1.3355, potentially reaching 1.3315, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Outlook for GBP is negative

24-HOUR VIEW: "GBP traded sideways two days ago. Yesterday, we expected GBP to continue to 'trade sideways between 1.3410 and 1.3460'. However, instead of trading sideways, GBP dropped sharply to a low of 1.3364. While the sharp drop appears to be running ahead of itself, there is a chance for GBP to test 1.3355. The next support at 1.3315 is likely out of reach for now. On the upside, resistance levels are at 1.3400 and 1.3415."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our most recent narrative was from Tuesday (13 Jan, spot at 1.3465), in which we indicated that the recent price action suggests that GBP 'is likely in a range-trading phase, probably between 1.3390 and 1.3520'. After trading within the range for a few days, GBP broke below 1.3390 yesterday, as it plummeted to a low of 1.3364. Given the rapid increase in downward momentum, we are revising our GBP outlook to negative, and now expect GBP to decline to 1.3355, potentially 1.3315. On the upside, a break above 1.3445 (‘strong resistance’ level) would invalidate our view."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.