|

GBP/USD attempts to retrace the intraday losses near 1.2380

  • GBP/USD is facing downward pressure ahead of the interest rate decisions from both countries.
  • Fed is expected to maintain its current interest rates on Wednesday, but a quarter basis points hike is expected through the end of the year 2023.
  • Investors expect BoE to increase interest rates by a quarter basis points in the upcoming meeting on Thursday
  • BoE Governor Andrew Bailey suggested that the central bank is nearing the end of its current interest rate-hike cycle.

GBP/USD struggles to halt the two-day losing streak, recovering from the intraday losses and trading around 1.2380 during the European session on Monday. The pair is facing downward pressure ahead of the interest rate decisions from the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK).

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain its current interest rates without changes in the upcoming meeting scheduled on Wednesday. Furthermore, market participants will carefully scrutinize the central bank's communications, seeking any clues or insights regarding the possible future direction of interest rates. The market is still factoring in a 25 basis points rate-hike through the end of year 2023.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), assesses the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six other major currencies, hovering around 105.30 at the time of writing. The improved US Treasury yields could contribute upward support for the Greenback. The yield on the US 10-year bond has declined to 4.34%, up by 0.35% by the press time.

The Greenback faced downward pressure, which could be attributed to the release of downbeat consumer sentiment data from the United States (US) on Friday. The preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September showed a reading of 67.7, down from the previous figure of 69.5 and below the expected reading of 69.1.

The GBP/USD traders anticipate that the Bank of England (BoE) will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting on Thursday. This potential rate hike by the BoE is driven by the central bank's aim to tackle rising inflationary pressures and maintain economic stability in the United Kingdom (UK).

However, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's statement suggests that the central bank is nearing the end of its current interest rate-hike cycle. This, combined with concerns about the possibility of a recession and evidence of a slowing labor market in the UK, could put pressure on the BoE to consider pausing or adjusting its rate-hiking cycle in the future.

Investors will likely watch the notable events scheduled ahead of the monetary policy decisions for the United Kingdom (UK), the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Core CPI, and Producer Price Index (PPI) for August will be published on Wednesday.

On the US docket, Building Permits will be eyed. Traders will closely monitor these data releases, seeking trading opportunities within the GBP/USD pair.

GBP/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2381
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.2383
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2577
Daily SMA501.2733
Daily SMA1001.2654
Daily SMA2001.2433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2446
Previous Daily Low1.2379
Previous Weekly High1.2548
Previous Weekly Low1.2379
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2405
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.242
Daily Pivot Point S11.2359
Daily Pivot Point S21.2336
Daily Pivot Point S31.2292
Daily Pivot Point R11.2426
Daily Pivot Point R21.247
Daily Pivot Point R31.2494

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.