GBP/USD: Ascent stalls at key hurdle despite record lows in US yields


  • GBP/USD is stuck at key falling trendline resistance at 1.2965. 
  • Dovish BOE expectations could keep gains in GBP under the check. 

GBP/USD is struggling to clear resistance of the trendline falling from December and January highs on Friday despite the slide in the US treasury yields.

The currency pair is currently trading near 1.2955, having failed to take out the trendline hurdle at 1.2965 during the Asian trading hours. 

US yields slide

The persistent risk aversion mood continues to weigh over the US treasury yields. The 10-year yield is trading at a record low of 0.892% at press time, having declined by 16 basis points on Thursday. The 30-year yield has also hit record lows and the two-year yield is trading at 44-month lows. 

As a result, the US dollar is flashing red against the euro and the Japanese yen. However, the British Pound is struggling to extend its three-day winning run. 

The buying interest around the GBP seems to have weakened on dovish BOE expectations. The money markets expect the Bank of England (BOE) to cut rates by 25 basis points this month. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs thinks the BOE will deliver a 50 basis point rate cut. 

The currency pair may come under pressure in Europe if the trendline hurdle holds. On the data front, the focus will be on the UK Halifax House Prices and the US Nonfarm Payrolls report. 

Technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2958
Today Daily Change -0.0003
Today Daily Change % -0.02
Today daily open 1.2961
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2926
Daily SMA50 1.3015
Daily SMA100 1.2991
Daily SMA200 1.2705
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2968
Previous Daily Low 1.2861
Previous Weekly High 1.3018
Previous Weekly Low 1.2726
Previous Monthly High 1.3204
Previous Monthly Low 1.2726
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2927
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2902
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2892
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2823
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2784
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2999
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3038
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3107

 

 

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