|

GBP/USD advances to over one-week high, trades above mid-1.2900s on weaker USD

  • GBP/USD scales higher for the third straight day and climbs to over a one-week high.
  • The ongoing USD retracement slide from a two-week top act as a tailwind for the pair.
  • Diminishing odds for more aggressive rate hikes by BoE warrant some caution for bulls.

The GBP/USD pair builds on this week's goodish rebound from sub-1.2800 levels and gains some follow-through positive traction for the third successive day on Thursday. Spot prices jump to over a one-week high during the Asian session and currently trade around the 1.2965 region, up just over 0.20% for the day.

The US Dollar (USD) is seen prolonging its retracement slide from a two-week high touched on Tuesday and turning out to be a key factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the fact that the Federal Reserve (Fed) left the door open for one more rate hike in September or November, consensus that the US central bank is nearing the end of its current policy tightening cycle drag the Greenback lower for the third straight day.

It is worth recalling that Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking to the press after the widely expected 25 bps lift-off on Wednesday, said that the economy still needs to slow and the labour market to weaken for inflation to credibly return to the 2% target. That said, further moderation in inflation and weaker economic data might force the Fed to pause. Apart from this, a generally positive risk tone further undermines the safe-haven Greenback.

Investors continue to cheer China's pledge to step up support for its fragile economy, which remains supportive of the bullish sentiment across the global equity markets. It is worth recalling that state news agency Xinhua cited the Politburo - the top decision-making body of the ruling Communist Party - saying that China will step up economic policy adjustments, focusing on expanding domestic demand, boosting confidence and preventing risks.

That said, diminishing odds for more aggressive rate hikes by the Bank of England (BoE), bolstered by last week's softer UK consumer inflation figures, could cap the British Pound (GBP). This, in turn, might hold back bulls from placing fresh bets around the GBP/USD pair. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a move back above the 1.3000 psychological mark before confirming that the corrective decline from a 15-month peak has run its course.

In the absence of any relevant market-moving economic data from the UK, the USD price dynamics will continue to act as an exclusive driver of the GBP/USD pair's intraday movement. Later during the early North American session, traders will take cues from the US economic docket - featuring the release of the Advance Q2 GDP report, Durable Goods Orders, the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Pending Home Sales data.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2966
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1.2941
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2873
Daily SMA501.2682
Daily SMA1001.2537
Daily SMA2001.227
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2961
Previous Daily Low1.2876
Previous Weekly High1.3126
Previous Weekly Low1.2816
Previous Monthly High1.2848
Previous Monthly Low1.2369
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2928
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2908
Daily Pivot Point S11.2891
Daily Pivot Point S21.2841
Daily Pivot Point S31.2806
Daily Pivot Point R11.2976
Daily Pivot Point R21.3011
Daily Pivot Point R31.3061

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3150, US PCE inflation data looms

The GBP/USD pair recovers some lost ground to near 1.3175 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid UK political instability and rising expectations of US interest rate hikes this year. Traders await the US May Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation data on Thursday for fresh impetus. 

EUR/USD rebounds above 1.1350, but outlook stays bearish below key resistance

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1370. A surprisingly hawkish message from Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve chair last week has traders pricing a US hike as soon as September. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the key US Personal Consumption Expenditures report.

Gold bounces off November 2025 lows as USD rally pauses ahead of US PCE

Gold rebounds from the vicinity of the lowest level since November 2025, set the previous day, and trades near the $4,000 psychological mark. A modest US Dollar downtick offers some support to the commodity amid some repositioning trade ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Ripple and SBI Group partner to launch RLUSD in Japan

Ripple (XRP) remains under pressure, trading at $1.06 on Thursday after losing nearly 5% so far this week. Ripple and SBI Group partnered to launch RLUSD stablecoin in Japan following approval from the Japan Financial Services Agency on Thursday, but the move failed to lift sentiment.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.