|

GBP soft as markets look to BoE guidance – Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft and entering Monday’s NA session with a marginal 0.1% decline against the US Dollar (USD), trading just below last week’s multi-year highs, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

GBP is soft as markets price BoE cuts

"The UK’s final Q1 GDP release was in line with expectations at 0.7% q/q and 1.3% y/y. Domestic lending figures for May were soft. We look to headline risk from the ECB’s Sintra forum as markets will look for possible insights into the BoE’s policy outlook. Markets are pricing roughly 21bpts of easing for the August meeting and over 50bpts by year end."

"The technical outlook is bullish with a clear sequence of higher lows and higher highs. Last week’s rally pushed GBP/USD to fresh multi-year highs and the momentum indicators are bullish with an RSI at 64. We see limited resistance ahead of the psychologically important 1.40 level and expect the near-term range to be bound between support in the mid-1.36s and resistance closer to 1.38."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.