|

GBP/JPY weakens as intervention chatter fuels broad Yen demand

  • GBP/JPY slides as traders unwind short-Yen positions on intervention fears.
  • Reports of New York Fed “rate checks” fuel fears of possible coordinated action.
  • Political risk in Japan and the UK-Japan yield gap temper follow-through selling.

The British Pound (GBP) trades on the back foot against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday as the Yen outperforms across the board amid intervention speculation. At the time of writing, the cross is hovering near 210.50 after briefly slipping to 209.62, down nearly 0.95% on the day.

Markets were already on edge after repeated warnings from Japanese authorities that they are closely monitoring currency moves amid concerns over excessive weakness and one-sided fluctuations in the Yen. Intervention odds rose further after reports that the New York Fed conducted “rate checks” on behalf of the US Treasury, fueling speculation about possible coordinated action.

In response, traders have been unwinding short-Yen positions across the board, driving a sharp repricing in Yen crosses. USD/JPY slid toward the 153.00 handle, its lowest level since November 7, while EUR/JPY dropped to around 182.00, its lowest level since mid-December.

Japanese officials reinforced the intervention narrative on Monday, with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi saying she could not comment directly on market moves but stressed authorities would continue to closely monitor speculative activity and respond appropriately.

Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama echoed the concern, saying the government is watching currency developments with a “high sense of urgency.” Meanwhile, Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Seiji Kihara said authorities will take appropriate action in the foreign exchange market in line with the Japan-US joint statement.

That said, the cross has struggled to attract strong follow-through selling, as rising fiscal and political concerns in Japan are capping the Yen’s upside. PM Takaichi’s recent decision to dissolve the lower house and call a snap election has revived worries about more expansionary fiscal policy, keeping investors cautious about Japan’s already heavy debt burden.

On the monetary policy front, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept interest rates unchanged last week, while maintaining a cautiously hawkish bias and leaving the door open to further policy normalization if inflation and wage trends evolve as projected.

At the same time, recent UK economic data have strengthened the view that the Bank of England (BoE) could afford to remain patient before delivering additional rate cuts, offering underlying support to Sterling.

Against that backdrop, the still-wide interest rate differential between Japan and the UK continues to support GBP/JPY, keeping pullbacks relatively shallow.

On the data front, the UK economic calendar is light this week. In Japan, attention will turn to a heavy batch of releases due on Friday, including Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Large Retail Sales and Retail Trade.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.23%-0.08%-0.96%0.08%-0.27%-0.23%-0.44%
EUR0.23%0.14%-0.82%0.30%-0.05%-0.01%-0.21%
GBP0.08%-0.14%-0.95%0.16%-0.19%-0.15%-0.36%
JPY0.96%0.82%0.95%1.13%0.77%0.82%0.61%
CAD-0.08%-0.30%-0.16%-1.13%-0.35%-0.30%-0.51%
AUD0.27%0.05%0.19%-0.77%0.35%0.05%-0.15%
NZD0.23%0.00%0.15%-0.82%0.30%-0.05%-0.21%
CHF0.44%0.21%0.36%-0.61%0.51%0.15%0.21%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine extends ETH buying streak, says long-term outlook remains positive

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its weekly purchase of the top altcoin last week after acquiring 45,759 ETH.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.