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GBP/JPY technical analysis: Intraday upsurge stalls near descending trend-channel resistance

  • Comments by German Chancellor Merkel, saying that we can find a solution to the backstop by October 31, prompted some aggressive short-covering mover around the British Pound.
  • The GBP/JPY cross witnessed a dramatic intraday turnaround and rallied over 200-pips, surging through the key 130.00 psychological mark to hit over three week tops in the last hour.

The strong intraday upsurge lifted the cross towards a resistance marked by the top end of a short-term ascending trend-channel. Given the recent decline, the mentioned channel constituted towards the formation of a bearish continuation - flag chart pattern - and should keep a lid on any subsequent up-move.
 
Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart have been recovering from the bearish territory and gaining positive traction on the 4-hourly chart. However, oscillators on the 1-hourly chart are already pointing to slightly overbought conditions and might further collaborate towards capping gains.
 
Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained break through the mentioned barrier before confirming that the cross might have actually bottomed out in the near-term and positioning for any further appreciating move beyond the 131.00 round figure mark towards testing the next major hurdle near the 131.45-50 region.
 
Alternatively, rejection slide from the current resistance zone and a subsequent slide back below the 130.00 handle might now accelerate the slide back towards an intermediate resistance near the 129.55 region en-route 129.25-20 horizontal support and the 129.00 round figure mark.

GBP/JPY 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price130.44
Today Daily Change1.20
Today Daily Change %0.93
Today daily open129.24
 
Trends
Daily SMA20129.93
Daily SMA50133.47
Daily SMA100137.84
Daily SMA200140.64
Levels
Previous Daily High129.69
Previous Daily Low128.88
Previous Weekly High129.58
Previous Weekly Low126.54
Previous Monthly High137.8
Previous Monthly Low131.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%129.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%129.38
Daily Pivot Point S1128.85
Daily Pivot Point S2128.46
Daily Pivot Point S3128.04
Daily Pivot Point R1129.66
Daily Pivot Point R2130.08
Daily Pivot Point R3130.47

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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