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GBP/JPY technical analysis: Flashing red, eyes key support of 50-hour MA

  • GBP/JPY has backed off from highs near 141.50 registered on Thursday. 
  • A deeper drop to key support at 139.32 looks likely due to the bearish divergence of a technical indicator. 

GBP/JPY is currently trading near 139.70, representing a 0.22% loss on the day, having hit a high of 141.50 on Thursday on Brexit optimism.

The ongoing pullback is likely to be extended further to the 50-hour moving average (MA) support, currently at 139.32, as the 4-hour chart is reporting a bearish divergence of the relative strength index (RSI). Further, the long upper wick attached to Thursday's candle and the overbought reading (above 70) on the RSI indicates buyer exhaustion.

It is worth noting that the 50-hour MA consistently reversed pullbacks throughout the recent 1,100 pip rally from 130.43 to 141.50. The short-term outlook, therefore, would turn bearish if the 50-hour MA support is breached.

A strong bounce from that key support may yield a re-test of Thursday's high of 141.50, although as of now, that looks unlikely.

4-hour chart

Hourly chart

Trend: Deeper pullback likely

Technical levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price139.71
Today Daily Change-0.36
Today Daily Change %-0.26
Today daily open140.07
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.08
Daily SMA50132.05
Daily SMA100133.57
Daily SMA200138.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High141.51
Previous Daily Low138.59
Previous Weekly High137.9
Previous Weekly Low130.42
Previous Monthly High135.75
Previous Monthly Low126.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%140.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%139.71
Daily Pivot Point S1138.6
Daily Pivot Point S2137.14
Daily Pivot Point S3135.68
Daily Pivot Point R1141.52
Daily Pivot Point R2142.98
Daily Pivot Point R3144.44

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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