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GBP/JPY struggles near three-day lows, around mid-154.00s

  • A combination of factors dragged GBP/JPY lower for the third consecutive session on Thursday.
  • The risk-off mood benefitted the safe-haven JPY and exerted downward pressure on the cross.
  • Brexit/COVID-19 woes acted as a headwind for the sterling and contributed to the selling bias.

The GBP/JPY cross traded with a mild negative bias through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering near three-day lows, just above mid-154.00s.

The cross edged lower for the third consecutive session on Thursday and has now retreated nearly 100 pips from over one-week tops, around mid-155.00s touched on Tuesday. The Fed's sudden hawkish turn drove flows away from perceived riskier assets. This was evident from a sharp pullback in the equity markets, which, in turn, benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen.

On the other hand, sustained US dollar buying interest was seen as another factor behind the British pound's relative underperformance. Apart from this, concerns about the EU-UK collision over Norther Ireland protocol and the UK government's decision to push back the timeline for the final stage of easing lockdown measures further acted as a headwind for the sterling.

In the latest Brexit-related developments, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Wednesday that they will have to take steps to make sure the post-Brexit trade between Britain and NI is uninterrupted. In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases from the UK, the GBP/JPY cross remains at the mercy of the broader market risk sentiment.

Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop supports prospects for the resumption of the GBP/JPY pair's recent corrective pullback from multi-year tops, around the 156.00 mark set in May. Hence, a subsequent fall back towards the 154.00 neighbourhood, or monthly lows, remains a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price154.68
Today Daily Change-0.21
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open154.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA20154.93
Daily SMA50152.98
Daily SMA100150.86
Daily SMA200144.56
 
Levels
Previous Daily High155.38
Previous Daily Low154.68
Previous Weekly High155.32
Previous Weekly Low154.13
Previous Monthly High156.08
Previous Monthly Low150.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%154.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%155.11
Daily Pivot Point S1154.58
Daily Pivot Point S2154.28
Daily Pivot Point S3153.88
Daily Pivot Point R1155.29
Daily Pivot Point R2155.69
Daily Pivot Point R3155.99

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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