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GBP/JPY slides back beneath 140.00 as traders await Brexit update

  • GBP/JPY has slid back from earlier highs north of the 140.00 level to consolidate around 139.50.
  • The pair still trades in the green, however, as traders await the outcome of Brexit talks between Johnson and von der Leyen

GBP/JPY surged as high as the 140.30s on Wednesday, aided by positive comments from UK Cabinet Minister Michael Gove who intimated that a compromise of the issue of fisheries might be possible. However, GBP softened during US trading hours amid a bout of profit-taking, as well as a dose of realism that Brexit talks remain in the balance, with numerous EU officials saying that the chances of a deal are slim over recent days. The pair slipped back beneath 140.00 and has since consolidated about the 139.50 mark, where it currently trades heading into the Wednesday FX market close.

Johnson/von der Leyen talks still going

More than two and half hours in, UK PM Boris Johnson and EU Commission President von der Leyen’s diner, during which the two are currently discussing the way forward in Brexit negotiations, is still ongoing.

Whether this is a good sign that they will soon be able to announce some kind of meaningful breakthrough in the talks, or is a sign of the ongoing difficulties the two sides still face, is yet to be known.

But GBP traders are primed to react; good news in the form of a major breakthrough towards a deal will be greeted with jubilation and GBP will get a boost. Mind you, any concessions made by von der Leyen will have to also be palatable to the French, who have been taking a tough stance on negotiations and threatened to veto any deal that gives too much away to the Brits.

Meanwhile, if the conclusion of talks is to continue negotiations into the weekend, the reaction is likely to be muted as this is currently the markets base case scenario. If in an unlikely scenario talks see a complete breakdown, with Johnson and von der Leyen coming away from the meeting with the conclusion that a free trade deal is not possible, GBP will be slammed.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price139.65
Today Daily Change0.52
Today Daily Change %0.37
Today daily open139.13
 
Trends
Daily SMA20138.91
Daily SMA50137.52
Daily SMA100137.67
Daily SMA200135.59
 
Levels
Previous Daily High139.38
Previous Daily Low138.41
Previous Weekly High140.71
Previous Weekly Low138.38
Previous Monthly High140.32
Previous Monthly Low134.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%138.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%139.01
Daily Pivot Point S1138.56
Daily Pivot Point S2138
Daily Pivot Point S3137.59
Daily Pivot Point R1139.54
Daily Pivot Point R2139.94
Daily Pivot Point R3140.51

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

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