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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Dwindles at the 20-DMA drops to the 163.00 figure

  • The GBP/JPY daily chart portrays the pair as neutral-to-downwards, pierce of 163.00, to send the pair towards the 163.10s area.
  • From a short-term perspective, the GBP/JPY is range bound, but the higher-time frame could lean the pair neutral-to-downwards.

The GBP/JPS is almost flat as Tuesday’s Asian Pacific session begins, seesawing around the 100-day EMA after hitting the weekly high at 163.84 on Monday. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 163.06, amid a risk-off mood as shown by Asian futures preparing to open lower.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The GBP/JPY daily chart shows the pound remains heavy, albeit finishing Monday’s session with gains. Nevertheless, buyers’ inability to breach the 20-day EMA at 136.64 opened the door for sellers, who stepped in, sending the cross-currency diving towards the 163.00 figure. All that said, the pair is neutral-to-bearish biased.

Therefore, the GBP/JPY’s first support would be the August 8 low at 162.56. Break below will expose the August 5 low at 161.11, followed by the August 2 swing low at 159.44. Otherwise, if buyers reclaim the 20-day EMA at 163.64, that would open the door for a test of the 50-day EMA at 164.21.

GBP/JPY Daily chart

The cross-currency pair is neutral biased from a short-term perspective, capped by the August 5 low and the August 8 high, at 161.11-163.84, respectively. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is almost flat, just above the 50-midline, but directionless. Therefore, a break above 163.84 could send the pair towards the August 4 high at 163.97, which, once cleared, could open the door for further gains. On the flip side, the GBP/JPY first support would be a busy support area, with the intersection of the 50, 200, and 100-hour EMAs around the 162.49-162.65. Once cleared, the next support would be the S2 pivot point at 161.86, followed by the S3 daily pivot at 161.16.

GBP/JPY Hourly chart

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price163.06
Today Daily Change-0.07
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open163.13
 
Trends
Daily SMA20163.7
Daily SMA50164.24
Daily SMA100162.92
Daily SMA200158.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High163.33
Previous Daily Low161.12
Previous Weekly High163.99
Previous Weekly Low159.45
Previous Monthly High166.34
Previous Monthly Low160.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.97
Daily Pivot Point S1161.73
Daily Pivot Point S2160.32
Daily Pivot Point S3159.52
Daily Pivot Point R1163.93
Daily Pivot Point R2164.73
Daily Pivot Point R3166.13

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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