|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Buyers prepare an assault for a resistance trendline ahead of 165.00

  • The GBP/JPY daily chart tests a three-month-old resistance trendline at around 164.70-90.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) shifted bullish, indicating an upward trend for GBP/JPY.
  • GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Downside risks remain below 164.00.

The GBP/JPY pair is gaining 0.53% on Thursday and is trading at 164.29 after hitting a daily low of 162.96. The pair's uptrend is attributed to the market's current risk-on sentiment and expectations that central banks will pause hiking rates after the recent banking turmoil in the US and Switzerland.

GBP/JPY Price action

The GBP/JPY daily chart suggests the pair is testing a three-month-old resistance trendline that passes at around 164.70-90, trading at 4-week highs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shifted bullish, suggesting the GBP/JPY outlook is upwards. The Rate of Change (RoC) jumped from a neutral stance after the GBP/JPY snapped three days of consecutive losses, erased on Thursday.

If the GBP/JPY continues its uptrend, the next resistance would be the February 27 high at 166.00. A breach of the latter will expose the December 19 daily high at 167.01, followed by the December 12 high at 169.27.

On the other hand, the GBP/JPY first support would be the psychological level at 164.00. Downside risks lie at the next support area at the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 161.87, ahead of testing the 50-day EMA at 161.18.

GBP/JPY Daily chart

GBPJPY Daily chart

GBP/JPY Technical levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price164.33
Today Daily Change0.73
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open163.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.02
Daily SMA50161.32
Daily SMA100162.37
Daily SMA200163.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High163.68
Previous Daily Low161.36
Previous Weekly High163.34
Previous Weekly Low158.27
Previous Monthly High166.01
Previous Monthly Low156.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%162.25
Daily Pivot Point S1162.07
Daily Pivot Point S2160.55
Daily Pivot Point S3159.75
Daily Pivot Point R1164.4
Daily Pivot Point R2165.21
Daily Pivot Point R3166.73

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).