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GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls await a sustained move beyond 139.00 mark, 200-hour SMA

  • GBP/JPY built on the overnight bounce and gained some follow-through traction on Wednesday.
  • Mixed technical indicators on hourly/daily charts warrant caution before placing fresh bullish bets.

The GBP/JPY cross edged higher through the first half of the European session and refreshed daily tops, around the 139.00 mark in the last hour. The mentioned level coincides with 200-hour SMA and a sustained move beyond will set the stage for additional gains.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the 1-hourly chart have again started moving into the bullish territory and favour bullish traders. However, neutral oscillators on 4-hourly/daily charts warrant some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move.

This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through strength beyond weekly tops, around mid-139.00s, above which the GBP/JPY cross could aim back to reclaim the key 140.00 psychological mark. The momentum could further get extended towards the 140.30-40 heavy supply zone.

On the flip side, the 138.50-45 region now seems to protect the immediate downside. This is followed by the overnight swing lows, around the 138.00 round-figure mark. A convincing break below will negate any near-term positive bias and prompt some technical selling.

The GBP/JPY cross might then turn vulnerable to accelerate the fall to retest sub-137.00 levels, or weekly lows touched on Monday. The next relevant support is pegged near the 136.55 region, marking a three-month-old ascending trend-line, which should act as a strong base.

GBP/JPY 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price138.8
Today Daily Change0.26
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open138.54
 
Trends
Daily SMA20139.23
Daily SMA50137.97
Daily SMA100137.89
Daily SMA200135.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High139.2
Previous Daily Low138
Previous Weekly High140.46
Previous Weekly Low137.68
Previous Monthly High140.32
Previous Monthly Low134.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%138.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%138.74
Daily Pivot Point S1137.96
Daily Pivot Point S2137.38
Daily Pivot Point S3136.76
Daily Pivot Point R1139.16
Daily Pivot Point R2139.78
Daily Pivot Point R3140.36

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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