- Sterling closes the weekend gap before hesitating once more.
- Monday sees a thin affair on the calendar ahead of Tuesday's UK Earnings figures.
The GBP/JPY is trading near the 141.00 major level following a mild recovery from an eleventh month low seen on risk aversion flights piling into the Japanese Yen.
Contagion risk is the buzzword of the week ahead after markets realized last week that Turkey represents a much larger potential for banking risk than previously thought, and the Sterling is taking a step back as broader markets hit full-reverse on risk flows, piling into the safe-haven Yen as the GBP continues to flub. Brexit concerns and fears of a hard-exit are continuing to cap off the GBP, but new market flows into the JPY on Turkish contagion fears are pushing the safe-haven Yen even higher, and the GBP/JPY pairing is down almost 8% in August alone.
It's a calm week for the JPY on the economic calendar, but the British Pound will be seeing some action on Tuesday from the UK's Average Earnings, due at 08:30 GMT. Earnings including bonuses are expected to remain steady at 2.5% over the quarter into June, while earnings without bonuses are expected to see a mild tick down to 2.6% to 2.7%.
GBP/JPY levels to watch
Last week's decline leaves the pair steeply into bearish territory, with support coming from 2017's swing lows of 139.25 and 138.65; a bullish reversal will likewise have to cover a lot of distance before running into meaningful resistance at late June's bottom of 143.75 and the last swing high at 147.15.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
GBP/USD bulls retain control near 1.3300 mark, highest since March 2022
The GBP/USD pair trades with a positive bias for the third straight day on Friday and hovers around the 1.3300 mark during the Asian session, just below its highest level since March 2022 touched the previous day.
USD/JPY pops and drops on BoJ's expected hold
USD/JPY reverses a knee-jerk spike to 142.80 and returns to the red below 142.50 after the Bank of Japan announced on Friday that it maintained the short-term rate target in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, as widely expected. Governor Ueda's press conference is next in focus.
Gold consolidates weekly gains, with sight on $2,600 and beyond
Gold price is looking to build on the previous day’s rebound early Friday, consolidating weekly gains amid the overnight weakness in the US Dollar alongside the US Treasury bond yields. Traders now await the speeches from US Federal Reserve monetary policymakers for fresh hints on the central bank’s path forward on interest rates.
Shiba Inu is poised for a rally as price action and on-chain metrics signal bullish momentum
Shiba Inu remains strong on Friday after breaking above a symmetrical triangle pattern on Thursday. This breakout signals bullish momentum, further bolstered by a rise in daily new transactions that suggests a potential rally in the coming days.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.