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GBP/CAD Price Analysis: Under pressure after breaking below the 200-hour SMA, bears attack 1.6900

  • The British pound weakens against the crude-oil-related Canadian dollar as the GBP/CAD breaks below the 200-hour SMA.
  • GBP/CAD Price Forecast: Tilted to the downside, as long as the price remains below the 200-hour SMA.

After failing to break below the 50-day moving average (DMA), on Friday, the GBP/CAD finally broke the former, trading at 1.691625 down 0.46%, during the day at the time of writing. Monday market risk-on mood attributed to positive news from South Africa that showed that the COVID-19 omicron variant, despite being contagious, cases are mild compared to the delta variant.

In the overnight session, the GBP/CAD traded sideways underneath the 50 and the 100-hour simple moving averages (HSMA’s), seesawing around the 200-HSMA. However, as the Wall Street session opened, the cross-currency pair slumped 30-pips, as the USD/CAD pair dropped amid an absent economic docket in Canada, dragging with it the GBP/CAD pair, based in CAD strength.

GBP/CAD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

At press time, the GBP/CAD is trading 30-pips above Friday’s low. The near-term bias is tilted to the downside, as the hourly SMA remains above the spot price. Furthermore, the 50-hour SMA crossed under the 100-hour SMA, implying that the pair could print another leg-down.

In the outcome of further downside, the GBP/CAD first support would be December 3 low at 1.6897. A breach of the latter would expose the November 26 cycle low at 1.6837, followed by the 1.6800 figure.

On the other hand, the first resistance would be the 200-hour SMA at 1.6973. If GBP bulls break that level, the next resistance would be the 50-hour SMA at 1.6986, immediately followed by the 100-hour SMA at 1.6995.

GBP/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.6916
Today Daily Change-0.0079
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open1.6995
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.6931
Daily SMA501.6987
Daily SMA1001.7194
Daily SMA2001.7218
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.7061
Previous Daily Low1.6895
Previous Weekly High1.7114
Previous Weekly Low1.6895
Previous Monthly High1.7114
Previous Monthly Low1.6722
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.6958
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.6998
Daily Pivot Point S11.6906
Daily Pivot Point S21.6818
Daily Pivot Point S31.674
Daily Pivot Point R11.7072
Daily Pivot Point R21.715
Daily Pivot Point R31.7238

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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