|

FX Today: Fedspeak expected to grab all the attention

The US Dollar (USD) rose to multi-day highs on Monday, propped up almost exclusively by the strong depreciation of the Japanese Yen. In the meantime, market participants continued to closely follow developments around the US government shutdown despite the lack of relevant news over a potential deal.

Here’s what to watch on Tuesday, October 7:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) regained upside impulse, rising to fresh multi-day peaks near 98.50 accompanied by rising US yields and an absence of news around the shutdown. The RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is next on tap on the domestic calendar, seconded by the NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations and the API’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories. In addition, the Fed’s Bostic, Bowman, Miran, and Kashkari are all due to speak.

EUR/USD receded to multi-day lows near 1.1650, where some initial contention seems to have emerged. Factory Orders in Germany are due, seconded by the speech by the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD left behind the initial bearish tone and managed to add to Friday’s uptick, revisiting the boundaries of the 1.3500 hurdle. The Halifax House Price Index and the BBA Mortgage Rate will be published across the Channel.

USD/JPY jumped to fresh two-month highs near 150.50 on the back of the strong resurgence of the downward bias in the Japanese Yen. Household Spending figures are due, followed by the advanced Coincident Index and Leading Economic Index.

AUD/USD extended its recovery for the second day in a row, surpassing the 0.6600 barrier once again. The Westpac Consumer Confidence will be the sole release in Oz.

Prices of WTI rebounded to two-day highs past the $62.00 mark per barrel as traders assessed the smaller-than-expected crude oil output hike by the OPEC+ over the weekend.

Gold prices rose to all-time highs near the $3,960 mark per troy ounce on the back of steady safe haven demand, shutdown concerns and expectations of rate cuts by the Fed. Silver prices rose to fresh highs past the $48.00 mark per ounce for the first time since April 2011.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays defensive near 1.3300 amid pre-Fed market caution

GBP/USD stays defensive near 1.3300 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles as the US Dollar (USD) sits at monthly highs amid market caution ahead of the two-day US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting, starting later this Tuesday.

EUR/USD hangs close to monthly lows near 1.1350 on USD strength

EUR/USD is consolidating near the monthly trough, trading near mid-1.1300s in the European morning on Tuesday, undermined by persistent US Dollar demand. Traders seem hesitant and await the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing aggressive directional bets.

Gold languishes below $4,050; eyes further losses as focus remains on FOMC decision
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session on Tuesday and currently trades just below $4,050, down nearly 0.80% for the day. This follows the previous day's failure to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark and suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion remains to the downside amid a bullish US Dollar (USD) undertone.
Bitcoin slips below $64,000 as risk-off sentiment grips markets
Bitcoin (BTC) is extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday after losses of over 2.5% the previous day. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a mild outflow on Monday, marking three consecutive days of withdrawals.
Indian Rupee outlook: Downtrend set to persist – Just at a slower pace
The Indian Rupee just endured its most brutal six-month stretch in years, battered by a perfect storm of global shocks. From United States (US)-India trade uncertainty to surging Oil prices and the significant outflow of Foreign Institutional Investment (FII) from the Indian stock market, every event brought nothing but pain for the Indian currency.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.