|

FX Today: Fedspeak expected to grab all the attention

The US Dollar (USD) rose to multi-day highs on Monday, propped up almost exclusively by the strong depreciation of the Japanese Yen. In the meantime, market participants continued to closely follow developments around the US government shutdown despite the lack of relevant news over a potential deal.

Here’s what to watch on Tuesday, October 7:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) regained upside impulse, rising to fresh multi-day peaks near 98.50 accompanied by rising US yields and an absence of news around the shutdown. The RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is next on tap on the domestic calendar, seconded by the NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations and the API’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories. In addition, the Fed’s Bostic, Bowman, Miran, and Kashkari are all due to speak.

EUR/USD receded to multi-day lows near 1.1650, where some initial contention seems to have emerged. Factory Orders in Germany are due, seconded by the speech by the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD left behind the initial bearish tone and managed to add to Friday’s uptick, revisiting the boundaries of the 1.3500 hurdle. The Halifax House Price Index and the BBA Mortgage Rate will be published across the Channel.

USD/JPY jumped to fresh two-month highs near 150.50 on the back of the strong resurgence of the downward bias in the Japanese Yen. Household Spending figures are due, followed by the advanced Coincident Index and Leading Economic Index.

AUD/USD extended its recovery for the second day in a row, surpassing the 0.6600 barrier once again. The Westpac Consumer Confidence will be the sole release in Oz.

Prices of WTI rebounded to two-day highs past the $62.00 mark per barrel as traders assessed the smaller-than-expected crude oil output hike by the OPEC+ over the weekend.

Gold prices rose to all-time highs near the $3,960 mark per troy ounce on the back of steady safe haven demand, shutdown concerns and expectations of rate cuts by the Fed. Silver prices rose to fresh highs past the $48.00 mark per ounce for the first time since April 2011.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.