|

Forex Today: US Dollar stabilizes ahead of producer inflation data, Powell speech

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, May 14:

The action in foreign exchange markets remain quiet following Monday's subdued trading. The US Dollar (USD) Index continues to fluctuate in a tight channel above 105.00 as investors await producer inflation data for April and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. Earlier in the day, the European economic docket will feature ZEW Survey results for Germany and the Euro area.

The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield ended the first trading day of the week flat and main equity indexes closed little changed. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in April following the 0.2% increase recorded in March. In the early American session, Chairman Powell will appear at a moderated discussion with De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) President Klaas Knot at the Foreign Bankers' Association's Annual General Meeting in Amsterdam.

US Dollar PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.13%0.23%-0.44%-0.07%-0.05%-0.15%-0.24%
EUR-0.13% 0.15%-0.56%-0.17%-0.15%-0.26%-0.36%
GBP-0.23%-0.15% -0.63%-0.33%-0.30%-0.41%-0.51%
JPY0.44%0.56%0.63% 0.39%0.35%0.34%0.16%
CAD0.07%0.17%0.33%-0.39% -0.01%-0.07%-0.10%
AUD0.05%0.15%0.30%-0.35%0.00% -0.01%-0.21%
NZD0.15%0.26%0.41%-0.34%0.07%0.00% -0.10%
CHF0.24%0.36%0.51%-0.16%0.10%0.21%0.10% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

EUR/USD climbed above 1.0800 on Monday but erased a small portion of its daily gains in the American session to close below this level. Early Tuesday, the pair fluctuates in a narrow channel at around 1.0780.

USD/JPY rose 0.3% on Monday and continued to push higher toward 156.50 early Tuesday. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki repeated on Tuesday that it is important for currencies to move in a stable manner, reflecting fundamentals. He added that they will closely monitor the foreign exchange moves. Earlier in the day, the data from Japan showed that the PPI rose 0.9% on a yearly basis in April, matching the market expectation and March's increase.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that Japan's commitment to allowing the Japanese Yen (JPY) to move flexibly would let the Bank of Japan (BoJ) focus on achieving price stability and warned against the call by certain experts to use monetary policy to limit the currency's depreciation, as reported by Reuters.

The UK's Office for National Statistics reported on Tuesday that the ILO Unemployment Rate edged higher to 4.3% in the three months to March from 4.2% as expected. The Claimant Count Change rose 8.9K, while the Employment Change was down 177K in April. Additionally, Average Earnings Excluding Bonus rose 6% (YoY) in the three months to March, while Average Earnings Including Bonus were up 5.7% (YoY) in the same period. GBP/USD showed no immediate reaction to these data and was last seen moving up and down in a narrow band at around 1.2550.

Gold staged a downward correction and lost about 1% on Monday. XAU/USD edged higher early Tuesday but remains below $2,350.

Economic Indicator

Fed's Chair Powell speech

Jerome H. Powell took office as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on May 25, 2012, to fill an unexpired term. On November 2, 2017, President Donald Trump nominated Powell to serve as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Powell assumed office as Chair on February 5, 2018.

Read more.

Next release: Tue May 14, 2024 14:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold tests $$4,400 as softer US bond yields cap USD gains

Gold scales higher for the second straight day and continues to hit new weekly highs through the first half of the European session on Friday, with bulls now awaiting a sustained move beyond the $4,400 mark before positioning for further gains. Retreating US Treasury bond yields keep the US Dollar (USD) uptrend capped ahead of Fedspeak and mid-tier US data.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.

Why Bitcoin's over 30% rebound doesn't mean the bear market cycle is done

BTC has staged a strong recovery after falling to a yearly low of $57,800 in July, gaining nearly 33% and recording two consecutive months of gains in July and August. However, despite that rebound, Bitcoin remains around 40% below its all-time high, leaving one key question for traders: is this the start of a new bullish phase, or simply another recovery within a broader bear-market cycle?

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.