|

Forex Today: US Dollar regains traction following Friday's pullback

Here is what you need to know on Monday, August 7:

The US Dollar gathers strength against its major rivals to begin the new week. After closing in negative territory in response to the US July jobs report, the US Dollar Index edges higher toward 102.50 in the European morning. Sentix Investor Confidence Index for August will be featured in the European economic docket and June Consumer Credit Change will be the only noteworthy data releases from the US later in the day.

Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose 187,000 in July, compared to the market expectation of 200,000, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. With the immediate reaction, the USD came under modest bearish pressure. Some hawkish comments from Fed officials, however, seem to have helped the USD regain its poise. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman argued that the Fed should remain willing to raise the policy rate if data show that progress on inflation has stalled. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic argued that the Fed should keep monetary policy in a restrictive territory well into 2024. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, markets are still pricing in a nearly 30% probability of one more 25 basis points Fed rate hike before the end of the year. 

EUR/USD closed the previous week virtually unchanged following Friday's rebound. Early Monday, however, the pair stays on the back foot and trades in the red below 1.1000.

GBP/USD registered small losses last week and started to stretch lower toward 1.2700 to start the new week. 

Following a two-day decline that saw the pair lose nearly 150 pips, USD/JPY regained its traction early Monday and recovered above 142.00. The Bank of Japan's Summary of Opinions for July meeting showed that one member said that the bank should conduct Yield Curve Control (YCC) with greater flexibility and thereby make preparations, so that it can successfully continue with monetary easing while nimbly responding to both upside and downside risks.

As the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield retreated following the July labor market data from the US, Gold price closed the last trading day of the week in the red. With the 10-year yield holding comfortably above 4% early Monday, XAU/USD finds it difficult to build on Friday's gains and trades below $1,940.

Bitcoin spent the weekend in a relatively tight channel and was last seen moving sideways at around $29,000. Ethereum struggles to find direction and moves up and down in a narrow band slightly above $1,800.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recedes to daily lows near 1.1850

EUR/USD keeps its bearish momentum well in place, slipping back to the area of 1.1850 to hit daily lows on Monday. The pair’s continuation of the leg lower comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar in a context of scarce volatility and thin trade conditions due to the inactivity in the US markets.

GBP/USD resumes the downtrend, back to the low-1.3600s

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s decent advance, refocusing on the downside and retreating to the 1.3630 region at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, the British Pound is expected to remain under the microscope ahead of the release of the key UK labour market report on Tuesday.

Gold looks inconclusive around $5,000

Gold partially fades Friday’s strong recovery, orbiting around the key $5,000 region per troy ounce in a context of humble gains in the Greenback on Monday. Additing to the vacillating mood, trade conditions remain thin amid the observance of the Presidents Day holiday in the US.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.