Forex Today: US Dollar extends weekly uptrend ahead of Powell speech at Jackson Hole
Here is what you need to know on Friday, August 22:
The US Dollar (USD) stays resilient against its rivals early Friday after posting decisive gains on Thursday. Later in the American session, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech on "Economic Outlook and Framework Review" at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, hosted by the Kansas City Fed.
US Dollar Price This week
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 1.00% | 1.09% | 0.88% | 0.70% | 1.39% | 2.01% | 0.45% | |
| EUR | -1.00% | 0.09% | -0.14% | -0.29% | 0.41% | 0.97% | -0.54% | |
| GBP | -1.09% | -0.09% | -0.32% | -0.37% | 0.32% | 0.89% | -0.67% | |
| JPY | -0.88% | 0.14% | 0.32% | -0.15% | 0.54% | 1.15% | -0.41% | |
| CAD | -0.70% | 0.29% | 0.37% | 0.15% | 0.66% | 1.30% | -0.29% | |
| AUD | -1.39% | -0.41% | -0.32% | -0.54% | -0.66% | 0.56% | -0.98% | |
| NZD | -2.01% | -0.97% | -0.89% | -1.15% | -1.30% | -0.56% | -1.56% | |
| CHF | -0.45% | 0.54% | 0.67% | 0.41% | 0.29% | 0.98% | 1.56% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
The USD gathered strength in the second half of the day on Thursday after the preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for August showed that the economic activity in the private sector expanded at a faster pace than anticipated. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.3 from 49.8 in July and the Services PMI came in at 55.4, beating the market expectation of 54.2. The USD Index rose about 0.4% on the day and continued to stretch higher early Friday. At the time of press, the index was trading at an 11-day high at 98.75, gaining nearly 1% for the week. Meanwhile, US stock index futures lose between 0.2% and 0.6% in the European morning on Friday after Wall Street's main indexes closed in the red on Thursday.
USD/CAD trades at a fresh three-month high above 1.3900 in the early European session on Friday. In the second half of the day, Statistics Canada will publish Retail Sales data for July.
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1600. On Thursday, the pair lost about 0.4%, pressured by the broad-based USD strength.
GBP/USD fell 0.3% on Thursday and closed the fourth consecutive day in negative territory. The pair stays on the back foot in the European morning and tests 1.3400.
Following Wednesday's rebound, Gold lost its traction and registered losses on Thursday as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield pushed higher following the upbeat US PMI data. XAU/USD continues to edge lower and trades near $3,330 in the European session.
USD/JPY gathered bullish momentum and rose more than 0.7% on Thursday. The pair holds its ground and trades at a fresh three-week high near 148.50.
Pound Sterling FAQs
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).
The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.
Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.
Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
Author
Eren Sengezer
FXStreet
As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.
