|

Forex Today: US Dollar consolidates gains near multi-month highs, eyes on Fedspeak

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, September 7:

The US Dollar capitalized on upbeat US data midweek, with the USD (DXY) touching its highest level since mid-March above 105.00. Early Thursday, DXY consolidates its gains as investors await weekly Initial Jobless Claims data and a revision to the second-quarter Unit Labor Costs print. Market participants will also pay close attention to comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.

The ISM Services PMI report showed on Wednesday that the business activity in the US service sector continued to expand at an accelerating pace in August. Underlying details survey showed that employment in the sector grew at a healthy pace, while input price pressures gathered strength. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield climbed to 4.3% and provided a boost to the USD after this data as investors reassessed the possibility of the Fed raising the policy rate one more time before the end of the year. 

US Dollar price this week

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPCADAUDJPYNZDCHF
USD 0.59%0.93%0.34%1.02%0.95%0.95%0.73%
EUR-0.57% 0.36%-0.23%0.47%0.39%0.38%0.15%
GBP-0.93%-0.34% -0.59%0.11%0.03%0.03%-0.20%
CAD-0.34%0.25%0.60% 0.69%0.61%0.61%0.40%
AUD-1.02%-0.42%-0.07%-0.67% -0.06%-0.08%-0.28%
JPY-0.95%-0.37%0.00%-0.64%0.08% -0.01%-0.21%
NZD-0.99%-0.34%0.00%-0.63%0.08%-0.02% -0.20%
CHF-0.70%-0.13%0.22%-0.38%0.32%0.23%0.24% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/JPY (quote).

EUR/USD came within a touching distance of 1.0700 for the second day in a row on Wednesday but managed to find support. The pair was last seen moving sideways slightly above that level. Eurostat will release revisions to second-quarter Employment Changed and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data later in the session.

GBP/USD dropped to its lowest level since June 12 below 1.2500 on Wednesday. Although the pair recovered modestly toward the end of the day, it failed to stabilize above that level in the Asian session on Thursday. In addition to the broad-based USD strength, cautious comments from Bank of England officials caused the pair to stay under bearish pressure. While testifying before the UK Treasury Select Committee, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey noted that many indicators are pointing to a fall in inflation and added that they were "much nearer of peak rates." Additionally, BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra noted that the BoE's policy was already "sufficiently restrictive."

The data from China showed in the Asian session that the trade surplus narrowed to $68.36 billion in August from $80.6 billion. In the meantime, Australia's Exports declined 2% in July, while Imports rose 3%. Following Wednesday's indecisive action, AUD/USD continues to move sideways at around 0.6400 early Thursday. Outgoing Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe reiterated that a tighter monetary policy would be required if inflation became sticky.

USD/CAD advanced to its highest level since March above 1.3670 but retreated below 1.3650 on Thursday. The Bank of Canada (BoC) announced on Wednesday that it left the policy rate unchanged at 5% as widely expected. BoC Governor Tiff Macklem will deliver the Economic Progress Report later in the day.

USD/JPY lost its bullish momentum and went into a consolidation phase at around 147.50. "Further tweak to YCC cannot be ruled out as option if inflation expectations heighten more, but this is not an imminent issue now," Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Junko Nakagawa said on Thursday.

Gold price registered losses for the fifth straight day on Friday and dropped below $1,920 for the first time in September. With 10-year US yield holding steady early Thursday, XAU/USD trades in a tight channel slightly below $1,920.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hangs close to 1.3500, awaits fresh impetus from US CPI

GBP/USD keeps its range around 1.3500 in Wednesday's European trading. The pair continues to trade with caution as the US Dollar (USD) holds ground ahead of a crucial US consumer inflation report. Investors are watching this upcoming reading closely, as it is expected to play a major role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision and the USD valuation.

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1550 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD struggles to gain any meaningful traction and holds steady around 1.1550 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, maintaining a familiar range held over the past week or so. Traders keenly await the release of the key US inflation data and further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold retakes $4,400, eyes two-month high as traders look to US CPI for Fed hike cues

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday and climbs back above the $4,400 mark, closer to its highest level since June 5, which was touched the previous day. Traders now look to the US Consumer Price Index report for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's future policy path amid inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices.

Zcash below $500 puts bulls under pressure, 100-day EMA in focus

Zcash price trades below $500 at press time on Wednesday, holding steady after two consecutive days of losses. Retail demand for the privacy coin is mixed as the broader market awaits the release of US Consumer Price Index data for July later in the day.

US CPI data set to show softer inflation in July as markets reassess Fed rate hike bets

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the July Consumer Price Index data on Wednesday. The report is expected to show a small decline in consumer inflation and core inflation. The monthly CPI is forecast to rise by 0.1%, following the 0.4% decrease recorded in June, while the annual reading is seen retreating to 3.4% from 3.5% reported in the previous month.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.