|

Forex Today: It’s PMIs day!

The US Dollar came under renewed and significant selling pressure, retreating to two-month lows even though the US tariff narrative remained unchanged and the Russia-Ukraine peace talks showed no signs of improvement.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, February 21:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) tumbled to fresh two-month lows near 106.40 amid declining US yields, the strong appreciation of the Japanese yen and extra buying pressure in the risk complex. The preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs should grab all the attention, seconded by Existing Home Sales, and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment print. In addition, the Fed’s Jefferson is due to speak.

EUR/USD rebounded to three-day highs and approached the key 1.0500 barrier on the back of the US Dollar’s sharp pullback. The advanced HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Germany and the euro bloc will be released, followed by the European Commission’s Winter Forecasts and the speech by the ECB’s Lane.

GBP/USD climbed to levels last seen in early December around 1.2650 following extra weakness in the Greenback and the widespread uptick in the risk-linked assets. The GfK Consumer Confidence comes first, ahead of Retail Sales, the flash S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs and Public Sector Net Borrowing readings.

The intense buying bias in the Japanese yen motivated USD/JPY to retreat sharply to the 149.40 zone for the first time since December. Key Inflation Rate will be at the centre of the debate along with the preliminary Jibun Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs.

AUD/USD clocked a new two-month high just above 0.6400 the figure following the deep retracement in the US Dollar. Next on tap in Oz will be the RBA’s Monthly CPI Indicator, and Construction Done figures, all due on February 26.

Supply concerns sparked extra gains in WTI prices, lifting the barrel back above the $73.00 mark on Thursday.

Gold prices clinched an all-time peak beyond $2,950 per ounce troy following tariff concerns and difficult peace talks around the Russia-Ukraine crisis. Silver prices advanced to weekly peaks north of the $33.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold rises to record high above $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold rises and hits its record high around $4,505 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the Israel-Iran conflict and the rising in US-Venezuela tensions boost the safe-haven demand. Furthermore, the recent soft US inflation and cool jobs reports have fueled market expectations for at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve next year. 

XRP price under pressure amid technical weakness and reduced whale holdings

Ripple is extending its decline below $1.90 at the time of writing on Tuesday, as headwinds intensify across the crypto market. Negative market sentiment has persisted despite a surge in inflows to XRP spot Exchange Traded Funds.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.