|

Forex Today: It’s PMIs day!

The US Dollar came under renewed and significant selling pressure, retreating to two-month lows even though the US tariff narrative remained unchanged and the Russia-Ukraine peace talks showed no signs of improvement.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, February 21:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) tumbled to fresh two-month lows near 106.40 amid declining US yields, the strong appreciation of the Japanese yen and extra buying pressure in the risk complex. The preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs should grab all the attention, seconded by Existing Home Sales, and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment print. In addition, the Fed’s Jefferson is due to speak.

EUR/USD rebounded to three-day highs and approached the key 1.0500 barrier on the back of the US Dollar’s sharp pullback. The advanced HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Germany and the euro bloc will be released, followed by the European Commission’s Winter Forecasts and the speech by the ECB’s Lane.

GBP/USD climbed to levels last seen in early December around 1.2650 following extra weakness in the Greenback and the widespread uptick in the risk-linked assets. The GfK Consumer Confidence comes first, ahead of Retail Sales, the flash S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs and Public Sector Net Borrowing readings.

The intense buying bias in the Japanese yen motivated USD/JPY to retreat sharply to the 149.40 zone for the first time since December. Key Inflation Rate will be at the centre of the debate along with the preliminary Jibun Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs.

AUD/USD clocked a new two-month high just above 0.6400 the figure following the deep retracement in the US Dollar. Next on tap in Oz will be the RBA’s Monthly CPI Indicator, and Construction Done figures, all due on February 26.

Supply concerns sparked extra gains in WTI prices, lifting the barrel back above the $73.00 mark on Thursday.

Gold prices clinched an all-time peak beyond $2,950 per ounce troy following tariff concerns and difficult peace talks around the Russia-Ukraine crisis. Silver prices advanced to weekly peaks north of the $33.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).