|

Forex Today: High-tier data releases from EU and US to ramp up volatility

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, June 1:

Despite the upbeat market mood, the US Dollar (USD) preserves its bullish momentum in the second half of the week. Eurostat will release the May inflation figures in the European session and the European Central Bank will publish May Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts. In the second half of the day, ADP Employment Change for May, the US Department of Labor’s weekly Initial Jobless Claims data and the ISM Manufacturing PMI survey will be featured in the US economic docket. 

US ADP Employment, ISM Manufacturing PMI Preview: First down, then up for US Dollar?

The US Dollar Index (DXY) touched its strongest level since mid-March above 104.50 on Wednesday after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the number of job openings on the last business day of April stood at 10.1 million, compared to 9.74 million in March and the market of 9.37 million. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve noted in its Beige Book that there was little change in the overall economic activity in April and early May. “Prices rose moderately over the reporting period, though the rate of increase slowed in many Districts,” the publication further read.

Investors breathed a sigh of relief late Wednesday after the House of Representatives passed a bill to suspend the debt limit through January 1, 2025. The DXY retreated from daily highs following this development but closed in positive territory. On the other hand, major equity indexes in the US, which closed before the vote, registered losses while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield managed to recover toward 3.7%. Early Thursday, US stock index futures trade flat while the 10-year yield holds near 3.7%. It's also worth noting that Philadelphia Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President Patrick Harker and Fed Governor Philip Jefferson both said on Wednesday that they were in favor of skipping a rate hike at the next meeting. These comments, however, don't seem to be having a negative impact on the USD's valuation for the time being.

Pressured by the broad USD strength, EUR/USD continues to trade on the back foot below 1.0700 on Thursday. The annual Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices is forecast to rise 6.3% in the Eurozone in May, compared to 7% increase recorded in April.

After having closed the first three trading days of the week in positive territory, GBP/USD has lost its traction and started to stretch lower toward 1.2400 in the early European session.

USD/JPY regained its traction on Thursday and advanced toward 140.00. The data from Japan revealed earlier in the day that Capital Spending rose 11% in the first quarter, much higher than the market expectation for an increase of 5.5%.

Gold price climbed above $1,970 on Wednesday but erased a large portion of its daily gains before closing slightly above $1,960. XAU/USD stays under modest bearish pressure in the European morning and trades near mid-$1,950s.

Bitcoin continues to decline on Thursday and was last seen losing 1.5% on the day at around $26,800. Ethereum lost more than 1% on Wednesday and extended its slide toward $1,850 early Thursday.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD could test 1.1750 amid strengthening bullish bias

EUR/USD remains flat after two days of small losses, trading around 1.1740 during the Asian hours on Thursday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a strengthening of a bullish bias, as the pair continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3300s as traders await BoE and US CPI report

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.3310 area, or a one-week low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3370 region, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk and US consumer inflation data.

Gold awaits weekly trading range breakout ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher back closer to the $4,350 level and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar uptick, though it is likely to remain cushioned on the back of a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Dogecoin breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.