|

Forex Today: Geopolitics and Canadian jobs steal the show

The US Dollar (USD) navigated a narrow range on Thursday, building on the previous day’s losses and briefly reaching multi-day lows. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions continued to make the rounds, while investors seemed to have largely ignored the cautious tone in the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 10:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) had kept the bearish tone for the second straight day on Thursday, although it managed to bounce off earlier lows and dispute the 101.00 region afterward. Next on tap on the USD docket will be the release of the always-relevant inflation figures tracked by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on July 14.

EUR/USD has clinched its second consecutive daily advance on Thursday, although gains appear to have met a tough nut to crack around 1.1450. Final inflation data in Germany are due alongside the speech by the ECB’s Vujcic.

GBP/USD could not sustain the early move to three-week tops around 1.3430, coming under pressure and challenging once again the 1.3400 neighbourhood. The next event across the Channel will be the publication of the BRC Retail Sales Monitor on July 14.

The USD/JPY’s weekly recovery has stalled on Thursday amid renewed downside bias in the Greenback and steady FX intervention concerns. Producer Prices will be the sole release in the 'Land of the Rising Sun'.

AUD/USD has added to Wednesday’s small advance and approached the 0.6950 zone, always on the back of fresh selling interest hurting the buck. Data-wise in Oz, Westpac will publish its Consumer Confidence gauge on July 14.

USD/CAD has slipped back toward the 1.4150 zone, the lower end of its current multi-day consolidative phase, down for the fourth day in a row. Wrapping up the week, the Canadian labour market report will take centre stage.

Prices of the barrel of WTI reversed five consecutive daily advances, returning to the $72.00 mark per barrel and below its critical 200-day SMA.

Prices of Gold have left behind three straight daily losses and reclaimed the area beyond the $4,100 mark per troy ounce, always amid fresh weakness in the US Dollar and persistent geopolitical jitters.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead: Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets
The new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, has made few public appearances since taking the central bank helm in May, yet he’s found it difficult to steer off controversy. Question marks about his relations with the President, Donald Trump, continue to swirl, while markets are still trying to make sense of his approach to monetary policy.
CFTC Report: Oil positioning rebounds; VIX and Yen exposure turn more bearish
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning turned more constructive in the week to August 18. WTI recorded the largest increase, followed by a sharp narrowing in CAD net shorts. VIX and JPY positioning moved the other way, while Gold remained the clearest crowded long despite a softer spot price.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.