|

Forex Today: Dollar steadies amid souring market mood

Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 18:

The greenback continued to weaken against its major rivals on Thursday but the negative shift in risk sentiment helped the currency shake off the selling pressure early Friday. January Trade Balance from the euro area and February Existing Home Sales data from the US will be featured in the economic docket but investors will remain focused on the headlines surrounding the Russia-Ukraine crisis. 

Earlier in the week, headlines surrounding the Russia-Ukraine talks suggested that sides were moving closer to a peace agreement. On Thursday, however, Ukrainian and Russian officials noted there was no significant progress in negotiations. Meanwhile, a western official told Reuters that there still was a very big gap between the positions of Ukraine and Russia. On a more concerning note, ''Russia may be contemplating a chemical-weapons attack,'' US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said. 

Reflecting the souring market mood, US stock index futures are down between 0.3% and 0.6% in the early European session. The US Dollar Index, which is down more than 1% on a weekly basis, stays relatively quiet near 98.00. 

EUR/USD reached its highest level in more than two weeks at 1.1138 on Thursday but seems to have lost its bullish momentum on Friday. The pair is moving sideways below 1.1100 in the European morning. 

The Bank of England (BOE) hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points as expected on Thursday but the GBP/USD lost more than 100 pips and fell below 1.3100. The policy statement revealed a cautious stance on future rate hikes and made it difficult for the British pound to find demand. Although the pair managed to erase a large portion of its daily losses in the second half of the day, it lost its momentum and went into a consolidation phase above 1.3150.

BOE Quick Analysis: GBP/USD buying opportunity? Three reasons see upside from here.

USD/JPY continues to fluctuate in a relatively narrow range below 119.00 after closing virtually unchanged on Thursday. In the early Asian session, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced that they left the monetary policy settings unchanged. Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda noted that it was too early to debate the specifics of how to exit the easy policy.

Gold stage a rebound on Thursday but failed to reclaim $1,950. Despite the risk-averse market environment, XAU/USD struggles to regain its traction and trades below $1,940 early Friday.

Following Wednesday's recovery, Bitcoin struggled to find direction on Thursday and closed the day unchanged. BTC/USD continues to trade in a tight channel above $40,000. Ethereum registered gains for the fourth straight day on Thursday but lost its momentum before testing $3,000.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.