|

Fed to remain on hold for the remainder of 2019 - Rabobank

Previewing next week's FOMC meeting, "The Fed’s new set of projections is likely to reflect the more dovish statements since December," Rabobank analysts argue.

Key quotes

"The FOMC has taken a pause, but several participants are still thinking of hiking later in the year. On balance, we may still see one hike for 2019 in the dot plot. For 2020, the chance of no more hikes in the dot plot is considerably larger."

"The March meeting may give us more details about the balance sheet normalization that is likely to come to a halt in the second half of 2019."

"We still expect the US economy to slide into recession in the summer of 2020 and the Fed to remain on hold for the remainder of 2019, before cutting rates in 2020."

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers above 1.1600 as focus shifts to US NFP

EUR/USD recovers ground above 1.1600 in Friday's European trading. The pair's uptick is sponsored by a profit-taking pullback in the US Dollar, as traders reposition ahead of the critical US Nonfarm Payrolls data. Meanwhile, the Middle East conflict and higher oil prices could keep the recovery in check. 

GBP/USD rebounds toward 1.3400 in countdown to US NFP

GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.3400 in the European session on Friday. A modest improvement in risk sentiment and a broad-based US Dollar retreat help the pair recover its weekly losses. The focus now remains on the US NFP data and Middle East headlines for fresh trading incentives. 

Gold advances on increased safe-haven demand

Gold price recovers its recent losses from the previous session. The yellow metal advances as the broader precious metals market rebounds on safe-haven demand. However, the yellow metal is on track for its first weekly decline in five weeks as escalating Middle East tensions push oil prices higher, fueling inflation concerns and reducing bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple at risk as US-Iran war extends

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade cautiously at press time on Friday, close to key support levels after a roughly 2% pullback the previous day. Bitcoin holds above $71,000, Ethereum at $2,000, and XRP continues to consolidate in a sideways range.

The market compass is pointing at a barrel of Oil

The Asian open is arriving with equities leaning the wrong way, and the reason is not complicated. The market’s compass needle has snapped firmly toward crude. In this tape, oil is not just another input price; it is the gravitational center around which every asset class is orbiting.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple at risk as US-Iran war extends

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade cautiously at press time on Friday, close to key support levels after a roughly 2% pullback the previous day. Bitcoin holds above $71,000, Ethereum at $2,000, and XRP continues to consolidate in a sideways range.