|

EUR/USD upside capped around 1.1780

  • The pair manages to climb to the 1.1770/80 band.
  • The greenback reverts the initial test of YTD tops beyond 94.00.
  • Fed-speakers later and the FOMC minutes (Wednesday) grab all the attention.

The recovery in EUR/USD stalled just around the 1.1780 level at the beginning of the week, coming up from fresh YTD lows near 1.1710.

EUR/USD supported near 1.1710

Dip-buyers appeared around the key contention area near 1.1700 the figure earlier in the session, motivating the pair to leave behind the initial negative mood and regain part of the ground lost.

On the opposite side, the buck clinched fresh tops above the 94.00 mark albeit sellers stepped in soon afterwards, sparking the ongoing correction to the 93.70 region amidst some consolidation of US yields around the 3.07% level.

In addition, initial jitters coming from the uncertainty surrounding the populist coalition government in Italy appear mitigated for the time being, somewhat alleviating the downside in EUR.

Nothing expected in the data/event space today, leaving the bulk of the attention to speeches by Atlanta Fed R.Bostic (voter, centrist), Philladelphia Fed P.Harker (non voter, hawkish) and Minneapolis Fed N.Kashkari (non voter, dovish).

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.07% at 1.1763 and a breakdown of 1.1717 (2018 low May 21) would target 1.1700 (psychology level) en route to 1.1553 (monthly low Nov. 7 2017). On the flip side, the next resistance aligns at 1.1846 (10-day sma) seconded by 1.1961 (21-day sma) and finally 1.1996 (high May 14).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.