|

EUR/USD: Upside bias mitigated below 1.0940 – UOB

UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang suggest the upside momentum in EUR/USD is expected to lose traction below 1.0940.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “EUR traded between 1.0998 and 1.1053 yesterday, narrower than our expected range of 1.0980/1.1060. The underlying tone has softened somewhat and EUR is likely to edge lower today. However, any decline is unlikely to break 1.0970. Resistance is at 1.1025, a breach of 1.1045 would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Our update from last Friday (05 May, spot at 1.1025) still stands. As highlighted, the bias for EUR appears to be tilted to the upside but unless there is a clear improvement in momentum, any advance might find it difficult to break above the major resistance at 1.1120. Note that there is another rather strong resistance level near 1.1095. If EUR were to break below 1.0940 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.0920 last Friday), it would suggest that it is not ready to move towards 1.1120.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold: Bullish momentum fades despite broad USD weakness

After rising more than 3.5% in the previous week, Gold has entered a consolidation phase and fluctuated at around $4,200. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and revised Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot, could trigger the next directional move in XAU/USD. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.