|

EUR/USD: Unlikely to weaken much further against – UOB Group

Euro (EUR) is unlikely to weaken much further against US Dollar (USD); it is more likely to consolidate in a range of 1.1520/1.1600. In the longer run, the level to watch now is 1.1500, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

The level to watch now is 1.150

24-HOUR VIEW: "EUR plunged and closed lower by 1.29% on Monday. Yesterday (Tuesday), we pointed out that “while the outsized drop appears excessive, there is a chance for EUR to test the 1.1540/1.1555 support zone before stabilisation can be expected.” EUR weakened more than expected, reaching a low of 1.1515 before rebounding to close at 1.1545 (-0.37%). The decline appears to be overstretched, and there are tentative signs of stabilisation. To put it another way, EUR is unlikely to weaken much further. Today, it is more likely to consolidate in a range of 1.1520/1.1600."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Yesterday, 29 Jul, when EUR was at 1.1595, we indicated that 'the strong surge in downward momentum suggests EUR is likely to break the 1.1540/1.1555 support zone.' We added, 'the next level to watch is 1.1500.' EUR subsequently dropped to a low of 1.1515 and closed at 1.1545. As indicated, the level to watch now is 1.1500. Overall, only a breach of 1.1655 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.1700 yesterday) would suggest that EUR is not weakening further."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Iran escalation: Quick thoughts on markets

Markets are likely to open the week with risk-off, with declines led by airlines, cyclicals and trade-exposed names, while energy, defense and “strategic” sectors may be relatively steadier.

Oil at a critical breakpoint: Will geopolitics trigger the next major move?

The week ahead blends two powerful forces: moderating economic momentum and increasing geopolitical tension. While US and Eurozone data suggest steady but unspectacular growth, rising friction between the US and Iran is injecting a fresh risk premium into energy markets. Macro is softening but geopolitics may dominate price action.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.