|

EUR/USD tumbles to lows near 1.2310 post-ZEW

  • The pair reverted initial gains and is now trading in daily lows.
  • EMU’s Economic Sentiment dropped to 13.4 for the month of March.
  • Ahead in the week, the next risk event for EUR will be the FOMC meeting.

The selling pressure around the European currency is now picking up pace and is forcing EUR/USD to drop to the 1.2515/10 band, or session lows.

EUR/USD offered on ZEW, USD stronger

Spot is now trading on a weak note following mixed results from the ZEW Survey in Germany and the euro bloc. In fact, German Economic Sentiment dropped sharply to 5.1 for the current month, while Current Conditions came in at 90.7, a tad above estimates albeit lower than February’s reading.

Still around the ZEW but regarding the euro zone, Economic Sentiment also decreased markedly to 13.4 for the same period.

In the meantime, the pair is now trading within the negative territory, closer to the 1.2300 milestone in response to a bout of buying interest around the greenback, pushing the US Dollar Index (DXY) back above the critical 90.00 handle.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is down 0.21% at 1.2310 facing immediate contention at 1.2258 (low Feb.19) seconded by 1.2206 (low Feb.9) and finally 1.2165 (low Jan.18). On the upside, a break above 1.2414 (high Mar.14) would target 1.2448 (high Mar.8) en route to 1.2557 (2018 high Feb.16).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off four-day lows, still below 1.3500

GBP/USD sticks to the bearish tone on Thursday, coming down to the 1.3480 region in the latter part of the NA session. In the meantime, Cable’s weakness comes as investors continue to assess mixed UK data, poor US results, and the persistent uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict.

EUR/USD looks apathetic around 1.1530

EUR/USD reverses Wednesday’s downtick and trades with modest gains in the 1.1530 region following the end of the NA session on Thursday. The pair’s tepid advance comes on the back of the absence of clear direction in the US Dollar despite tensions from the Middle East appear far from alleviated. Later on Friday, investors are expected to monitor the the releases of another revision of GDP figures in the Euroland, US Retail Sales and the preliminary U-Mich gauge.

Gold remains on the defensive below $4,350; downside seems cushioned

Gold trades below $4,350 during the Asian session on Friday and looks to extend the previous day's pullback from the highest level since June 5 as the US-Iran standoff continues to underpin the US Dollar's reserve-currency status. However, reduced bets for an immediate Fed rate hike, amid signs of cooling US inflation, should act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion and help limit deeper losses.

Dogecoin reclaims $0.07 support as whales step in
Dogecoin (DOGE) edges above the daily open, trading above $0.070 as of Thursday. While this uptick offers a positive signal, DOGE continues to trade within a broader bearish context, down approximately 12% from its July peak of $0.079. Still, should the $0.070 support level hold, the mild recovery could gather pace, targeting resistance at $0.080 and potentially the key $0.100 threshold.
Why credit markets aren’t pricing $570B of AI debt

Forecasts put global artificial intelligence related debt issuance near $570 billion this year, with roughly $236 billion of it priced by the end of May at four times the prior year's pace. Data centre securitisation alone has gone from about $4 billion a year through 2022 to roughly $10 billion in each of 2023 and 2024, and then $27 billion in 2025.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.