|

EUR/USD tumbles to lows, below mid-1.1800s ahead of German CPI

   •  Fails to build on early up-move back above 1.1860 level.
   •  Modest USD recovery prompts fresh technical selling.
   •  Focus remains on German CPI/US GDP/Yellen’s testimony.

The EUR/USD pair surrendered all of its early gains to 1.1883 and has now retreated over 50-pips from session tops, drifting into negative territory for the third straight session.

A goodish rebound in the US Treasury bond yields helped ease some of the bearish pressure surrounding the US Dollar, with traders opting to lighten their bullish positions ahead of the prelim German inflation figures. The headline CPI is expected to tick higher m-o-m, lifting the yearly rate to 1.7% for November as compared to previous month's reading of 1.6%.

Meanwhile, the latest ECB bi-annual Financial Stability Review, revealing central bank's concern that higher rates may trigger concerns on debt servicing, also seems to have prompted some selling around the shared currency. 

The pair's sharp retracement over the past couple of hours could also be attributed to some fresh technical selling, especially after yesterday's slide below a previous strong resistance break-point, now turned support, near the 1.1860 region.

From the US, the first revision of Q3 GDP figures would influence sentiment surrounding the USD and provide some short-term trading impetus ahead of the outgoing Fed Chair Janet Yellen's testimony before Joint Economic Committee of Congress.

   •  US: All eyes on Yellen and Q3 GDP - TDS

Technical levels to watch

A follow-through selling pressure is likely to accelerate the slide towards the 1.1800 handle en-route 50-day SMA support near the 1.1760-55 region.

On the upside, 1.1860-65 zone now seems to act as an immediate hurdle, above which the pair is likely to make a fresh attempt to reclaim the 1.1900 handle before aiming to test 1.1920-25 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold sits at record highs, nears $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is closing in on $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Audiera, Midnight, MemeCore sustain weekend gains

Audiera, Midnight, and MemeCore recorded double-digit gains on Sunday and remain top performers over the last 24 hours. Audiera extends the rally while Midnight takes a breather, and MemeCore struggles at a crucial moving average. 

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.