EUR/USD trying to plant feet and rebound from 1.0610

EUR/USD higher for Thursday, but fighting for gains.
Risk appetite is back on the cards as investors celebrate the end of Fed rate hikes.
US NFP Friday still on the cards to close out the week.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The EUR/USD caught some lift for Thursday, rising as broader markets continue to climb, fueled by a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) on Wednesday that sees investors flocking to risk assets in celebration of the (perhaps premature) perceived end of the Fed's rate hike cycle.

Rate cut eagerness may prove to be short-lived despite the Fed's softly dovish tone on Wednesday. Money markets are currently expecting the beginning of a rate cut cycle for the Fed beginning sometime in the back half of 2024, but that's still a long way away.

The European Unemployment Rate figures are due early on in the Friday trading session, but overall markets are set to be entirely focused on the US' Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) for October, slated for tomorrow's US trading session.

The Fed's pause can see further demand for carry – ING

Investors, eager to get a rate cut cycle underway, are forecasting a decline in headline US jobs creation growth, forecast to print at 180K compared to the previous month's 336K.

A miss-or-match for the headline NFP figure could see the US Dollar pare losses as investors pile back into the safe haven, while a beat for US jobs reporting could see traders get a splash of cold water on adjusting interest rate forecasts.

EUR/USD Technical Outlook

Despite Thursday's risk-on rally, The EUR/USD continues to trade near familiar territory on the daily candlesticks, testing technical resistance to the upside from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

The pair got knocked back from the 1.0650 handle mid-Thursday at the outset of the US trading window, and Euro bulls look set to dig their heels in and find a rebound point from the day's low near 1.0566.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.0626
Today Daily Change	0.0055
Today Daily Change %	0.52
Today daily open	1.0571

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0577
Daily SMA50	1.0643
Daily SMA100	1.0813
Daily SMA200	1.0809

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0581
Previous Daily Low	1.0517
Previous Weekly High	1.0695
Previous Weekly Low	1.0522
Previous Monthly High	1.0695
Previous Monthly Low	1.0448
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0541
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0557
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0532
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0492
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.0468
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0595
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.062
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0659

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

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