|

EUR/USD trades below 1.0600 marked lowest since March, Eurozone HICP, US Core PCE eyed

  • EUR/USD trades around 1.0580 close to the lowest levels since March.
  • ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that rates will remain restrictive for as long as necessary.
  • Investors focus on upcoming economic data releases, seeking inflationary pressures in both economies.
  • Cautious market sentiment and higher US Treasury yields are contributing support for the potential of the US Dollar (USD).

EUR/USD continues to move on the downward path, trading lower around 1.0580 during the early trading hours of the Asian session on Tuesday.

The pair has posted the lowest close on Monday since March despite the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde's statement at the European Parliament that rates will remain restrictive for as long as necessary.

However, Lagarde has also highlighted that inflation is expected to remain "too high for too long." However, the ECB faces a challenging situation, as it must carefully navigate the delicate balance between addressing inflationary pressures and not harming an uneven domestic economy in the Eurozone.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near 106.00 at the time of writing, although it's below its highest level since November. The US Dollar (USD) is maintaining its strength, partly due to cautious market sentiment and higher US Treasury yields.

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note improved to 4.55%, a level that hasn't been observed since October 2007. The expectation of high-interest rates persisting for an extended period is rooted in the resilience of the US economy.

As per Reuters, US President Joe Biden and one of his senior advisers have issued warnings about the potential consequences of a federal government shutdown. They expressed concerns that such a shutdown could lead to widespread difficulties, including the loss of food benefits for nearly 7 million low-income women and children.

The statement indicates that there was a prior agreement between President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on government spending levels. However, it's noted that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives may attempt to pass significant budget cuts this week.

These cuts would be subject to approval by the Democratic-controlled Senate, which is expected to reject them. If both houses fail to reach an agreement on government spending, it could lead to a partial government shutdown by the following Sunday.

Investors await the release of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, and the Eurozone’s Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), which are scheduled for Friday.

These datasets may provide crucial insights into the inflationary pressures in both economies and could impact trading decisions on the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0584
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.0593
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0727
Daily SMA501.0872
Daily SMA1001.0873
Daily SMA2001.083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0656
Previous Daily Low1.0575
Previous Weekly High1.0737
Previous Weekly Low1.0615
Previous Monthly High1.1065
Previous Monthly Low1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0606
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0625
Daily Pivot Point S11.056
Daily Pivot Point S21.0527
Daily Pivot Point S31.0479
Daily Pivot Point R11.0641
Daily Pivot Point R21.0689
Daily Pivot Point R31.0722

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 as markets turn risk-averse

EUR/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades near the lower limit of its weekly range below 1.1700 on Thursday. The US Dollar benefits from the cautious market stance and doesn't allow the pair to gain traction ahead of mid-tier data releases.

GBP/USD stays in red near 1.3450 on broad USD resilience

GBP/USD stays on the back foot after posting losses for two consecutive days and trades near 1.3450 on Thursday. The souring market mood amid simmering geopolitical tensions make it difficult for the pair to gain traction as focus shift to the the US labor market data.

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,450; seems vulnerable to slide further

Gold maintains its offered tone in the second half of the day and trades below $4,450 after posting daily losses on Wednesday. The downfall lacks any obvious fundamental catalyst and could be attributed to some follow-through profit-taking ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.