|

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Lots of noise for nothing - First down day in five - EUR/USD bears need to do better than this

  • EUR/USD main bear trend is on hold since mid-August where EUR/USD established a bottom at the 1.1300 figure. 
  • This Friday, EUR/USD bears drove the market down to 1.1630 support after a failed breakout above 1.1700 resistance. This is the first down day in five and EUR/USD bears will need to continue hammering down the market below 1.1530 key support in order to reclaim a strong bearish directional bias.
  • EUR/USD is still trading above its 50, 100 and 200-period simple moving averages while the RSI and Stochastics indicators are trading down from overbought condition. All-in-all suggesting that the market might need to consolidate more before setting up for the next directional move.
  • A bear breakout below 1.1530 would invalidate the bullish bias. 

EUR/USD 4-hour chart 

Spot rate:             1.1639
Relative change:  -0.44%  
High:                    1.1722
Low:                     1.1626

Main trend:                    Bearish
Short-term trend:           Bullish above 1.1530

Resistance 1:   1.1654 August 27 high
Resistance 2:   1.1700 figure
Resistance 3:   1.1750 key resistance (July)
Resistance 4:   1.1800 figure

Support 1:   1.1630 August 8 high key level
Support 2:   1.1600 figure
Support 3:   1.1572 July 19 low
Support 4:   1.1542 supply/demand level
Support 5:   1.1530 August 23 swing low
Support 6:   1.1508 June 8 low

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.