|

EUR/USD still risks a move to 1.1530 – UOB

In opinion of FX Strategists at UOB Group, EUR/USD could still slip back to the 1.1530 region while below 1.1655.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “EUR traded between 1.1579 and 1.1622 yesterday, narrower than our expected sideway-trading range of 1.1580/1.1635. The underlying tone has weakened somewhat and EUR could drift lower but any decline is unlikely to break last week’s low near 1.1560 (minor support is at 1.1580). Resistance is at 1.1620 followed by 1.1635.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Our latest narrative from Monday (04 Oct, spot at 1.1605) still stands. As highlighted, downward momentum has slowed and a break of 1.1655 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the weakness in EUR that started about a week ago has come to an end. As long as the ‘strong resistance’ at 1.1655 is not breached, there is still chance, albeit a slim one, for EUR to head lower towards the major support at 1.1530. Looking ahead, a breach of the ‘strong resistance’ level would indicate that EUR could consolidate and trade sideways for a period of time.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold weakens to three-month lows near $4,300

Gold faces increasing selling interest and approaches the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.