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EUR/USD slumps below 1.2050 pressured by month-end flows

  • EUR/USD pair came under strong bearish pressure during American session.
  • US Dollar Index posts strong gains above 91.00.
  • EUR/USD remains on track to snap three-week winning streak.

The EUR/USD pair fell sharply in the last hour and touched a fresh weekly low of 1.2036. At the moment, the pair is losing 0.64% on the day at 1.2040 and remains on track to close the week in the negative territory. In the absence of a significant fundamental driver, the recent decline seems to be a product of month-end flows into London fix. 

Earlier in the day, the data published by Eurostat showed that the eurozone economy contracted at an annual rate of 1.8% in the first quarter. On a positive note, the Unemployment Rate in the euro area edged lower to 8.1% in March and came in better than the market expectation of 8.3%. Nevertheless, these figures failed to trigger a noticeable market reaction.

DXY rises above 91.00 after US data

In the second half of the day, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 1.8% on a yearly basis in March from 1.4% in February as expected. Additionally, the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index improved to 88.3 (final) in April from 84.9 in March.

On the back of these upbeat figures, the US Dollar Index extended its rebound and rose above 91.00, allowing the bearish pressure on EUR/USD to gather strength.

There won't be any other data releases in the remainder of the day and EUR/USD is likely to start consolidating its daily losses ahead of the weekend.

Technical levels to watch for

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.204
Today Daily Change-0.0082
Today Daily Change %-0.68
Today daily open1.2122
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1979
Daily SMA501.1957
Daily SMA1001.2056
Daily SMA2001.1941
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.215
Previous Daily Low1.2102
Previous Weekly High1.21
Previous Weekly Low1.1943
Previous Monthly High1.2113
Previous Monthly Low1.1704
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.212
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2132
Daily Pivot Point S11.2099
Daily Pivot Point S21.2077
Daily Pivot Point S31.2051
Daily Pivot Point R11.2147
Daily Pivot Point R21.2172
Daily Pivot Point R31.2195

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
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