EUR/USD remains on the defensive below 1.0500, moves little post-German Factory Orders

EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on its intraday uptick amid some buying around the USD.
The better-than-expected German Factory Orders data also does little to provide impetus.
The fundamental backdrop supports prospects for some meaningful corrective pullback.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The EUR/USD pair surrenders its modest intraday gains to the 1.0520 area and refreshes the daily low during the early European session. Spot prices remain on the defensive below the 1.0500 psychological mark and move little following the release of better-than-expected German data.

The latest data published by the Federal Statistics Office showed that German Factory Orders rose 0.8% in October against the 0.2% decline estimated and the 4.0% fall recorded in the previous month. The data, however, did little to impress bullish traders or provide any meaningful impetus to the EUR/USD pair amid some follow-through US Dollar buying.

In fact, the USD Index, which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, is seen building on the overnight bounce from over a five-month low and acts as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. The incoming stronger US economic data fuels speculations that the Fed may raise interest rates more than projected and offers support to the USD.

Against the backdrop of the upbeat US monthly jobs report released on Friday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported on Monday that the US Service PMI unexpectedly climbed to 56.5 in November. This points to a resilient US economy, despite rising borrowing costs, and validates expectations that the Fed will continue to tighten its monetary policy.

Furthermore, the recent less hawkish remarks by European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, backing the case for a 50 bps rate hike in December, favour the EUR/USD bears. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that spot prices have topped out in the near term amid a relatively thin US economic docket.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.048
Today Daily Change	-0.0005
Today Daily Change %	-0.05
Today daily open	1.0485

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0339
Daily SMA50	1.0037
Daily SMA100	1.0053
Daily SMA200	1.0364

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0595
Previous Daily Low	1.048
Previous Weekly High	1.0545
Previous Weekly Low	1.029
Previous Monthly High	1.0497
Previous Monthly Low	0.973
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0524
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0551
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0445
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0406
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.0331
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.056
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0635
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0675

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

AUD/USD holds rebound near 0.6900 on US-China trade optimism

AUD/USD holds the rebound near 0.6900 in the Asian session on Monday. Mixed China's inflation data for October fails to provide any inspiration to the Chinese proxy, the Australian Dollar, but China's extension of the suspension of 24% tariffs on US goods and reduced US-Iran tensions help the Aussie pair cling to recovery gains.

USD/JPY retreat in sync with USD, appraches 158.00

USD/JPY is back in the red at the start of the week on Monday, eyeing the broad US Dollar retreat amid easing US-Iran tensions. Traders also resorting to profit-taking following the blockbuster US Nonfarm Payrolls data-led rally. US CPI report is next in focus.

Gold rises amid US-Iran peace deal hopes, softer US Dollar

Gold price recovers some lost ground above $4,020 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The prospects of diplomacy in the US-Iran conflict and weaker US Dollar (USD) boost the precious metal.

Solana: Persistent ETF outflows extend downside risk in SOL

Solana trades below $90 on Monday, ticking higher after over 3% losses below a long-term support trendline the previous day. SOL has been steadily declining over the last five weeks, aligning with five straight weekly outflows from Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Funds totaling over $150 million.

Economics week ahead

This week, attention turns to Tuesday’s CPI report, with no year-over-year readings available because of last October’s shutdown-related data gap. We expect headline and core inflation to clock 0.28% and 0.21% month-over-month, respectively. Softer core inflation would offer some relief after September’s upside surprise but should still leave our call for a December rate hike intact.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress

The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.