EUR/USD recovers to 1.0760 amid USD weakness, German Industrial Production data looms

EUR/USD posts modest gains around 1.0760 on the weaker USD.
Eurozone Retail Sales were down 1.1% MoM in December, its sharpest fall in a year.
Fed’s Harker said a soft landing for the US economy is in sight, citing declining inflation and a still-strong labor market.
Investors will focus on German Industrial Production on Wednesday.

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

The EUR/USD pair bounces off the 2024 lows of 1.0720 and rebounds to 1.0760 on the renewed selling bias in the US Dollar (USD) during the early Asian session on Wednesday. Investors await German Industrial Production on Wednesday, which is estimated to drop 0.4% MoM in December.

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President, Patrick Harker said that the Fed made the right choice last week to leave interest rates unchanged amid an outlook that likely heralds more inflation declines.

Meanwhile, Fed Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said that she might open the door to lower interest rates later this year if the economy evolves as expected. Finally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Sunday night that the central bank remains on track to cut interest rates three times this year, expected to begin as early as May. The delay of monetary policy easing from the Fed could provide some support to the Greenback in the near term. Traders have now priced in 15% odds of rate cuts in the March meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool.

Data released from Eurostat showed on Tuesday that Eurozone Retail Sales fell 1.1% MoM in December from a 0.3% rise in the previous reading, worse than the market expectation of 1.0%. On an annual basis, Eurozone Retail Sales dropped 0.8% YoY in December from a 0.4% decline in November, above the consensus of 0.9% fall.

The European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos said on Tuesday that he is confident that inflation is coming back to its 2% target and that its next move will be cutting interest rates. However, ECB Governing Council member Boris Vujcic stated that the central bank needs to have patience at the moment before cutting interest rates to make sure that wage costs aren’t translating into sustained wage pressure.

Market players will watch Industrial Production, due later on Wednesday. Later this week, the Economic Bulletin will be released on Thursday, and German Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data will be published on Friday.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.0762
Today Daily Change	0.0005
Today Daily Change %	0.05
Today daily open	1.0757

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0866
Daily SMA50	1.0902
Daily SMA100	1.0784
Daily SMA200	1.0836

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0762
Previous Daily Low	1.0723
Previous Weekly High	1.0898
Previous Weekly Low	1.078
Previous Monthly High	1.1046
Previous Monthly Low	1.0795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0747
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0738
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0732
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0708
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.0692
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0772
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0787
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0812

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

GBP/USD consolidates recent losses around 1.3200

GBP/USD enters a bearish consolidation phase around 1.3200 in early Europe on Wednesday. The pair's rebound remains capped amid a broadly firmer US Dollar and chaotic UK political environment. The focus is now on BoE-speak for fresh trading impetus.

EUR/USD hits yearly low, eyes 1.1350 on USD strength

EUR/USD sits at yearly lows, eyeing 1.1350 in the European morning on Wednesday. The pair remains vulnerable to further declines amid a bullish US Dollar. The Greenback continues to draw support from hawkish Fed bets and US-Iran peace deal uncertainty.

Gold bounces off $4,050 but downside risks persist

Gold rebounds from a nearly two-week low of $4,050 in the early European session on Wednesday. Despite easing inflationary concerns in the face of the recent fall in Crude Oil prices, traders have been pricing in a greater chance of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, which will continue to limit the bullion's recovery.

Dogecoin tests a key make-or-break point amid waning retail support

Dogecoin trades below $0.08000 maintaining a steady decline for the seventh straight week. The meme coin is losing its retail strength as DOGE futures Open Interest drops 10% in 24 hours, while institutional demand remains muted with zero inflows so far this week.

"Rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic": UK's fiscal crisis outlasts another Prime Minister

Keir Starmer's resignation as the UK Prime Minister comes ten years after the Brexit referendum vote, a coincidence that financial markets have been quick to note. The British Pound trades around 1.3220 against the US Dollar on Thursday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.