|

EUR/USD recovers above 1.14 in choppy session

The EUR/USD pair, which fluctuated in a 60-pip range and fell to a fresh session low at 1.1380 after the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Nonfarm Payroll report, recovered back above the 1.14 handle as the greenback failed to preserve its strength. At the moment, the pair is trading at 1.1407, still down 0.14% on the day.

Today's robust nonfarm job growth failed to convince investors that the greenback was capable of a deeper correction as it wasn't a big surprise. In fact, the Federal Reserve in its semiannual Monetary Policy Report, which was released later in the session,  said that the labor market conditions continued to strengthen in the first five months of this year. After rising to a session high of 95.93, the US Dollar Index started to erase its gains and is now at 95.75.

After rising more than 200 pips, the EUR/USD pair eased towards the 1.13 handle in the first half of the week, but the correction seems to have come to a halt as the pair is looking to close the second week in a row above the 1.14 mark. With no more data left in the remainder of the session, the US Dollar Index could remain as the primary driver of the price action.

Technical outlook

The RSI indicatoır on the H4 chart is gaining traction towards the 70 handle, suggesting that in the short-term a bullish momentum is building up. 1.1445 (Jun. 29 high) is the first critical resistance for the pair, and a decisive break above this level could open the door to 1.1500 (psychological level) and 1.1535 (May 5, 2016, low). On the downside, supports are located at 1.1380 (daily low), 1.1300/1.1295 (psychological level/Jun. 28 low) and 1.1230 (May 24 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD appears bid near 1.3200

GBP/USD gathers momentum and advances toward the 1.3200 neighbourhood on Thursday. Cable manages to shrug-off initial weakness and regain balance on the back of the fresh selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1350 after US PCE inflation

EUR/USD now accelerates its daily recovery, hovering around the 1.1370 region on Thursday. The pair’s rebounds follows some mild loss of momentum of the US Dollar despite results from the PCE and the labour market.

Gold advances slightly past $4,000

Gold reverses part of its recent weakness on Thursday, managing to reclaim the area just above the $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal regains traction on the back of renewed selling interest in the Greenback, although expectations of rate hikes by the Fed are likely to keep buyers on the sidelines for now.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Bitcoin nears make-or-break level ahead of US PCE data

Bitcoin recovers slightly, trading at $61,700 after reaching a new yearly low of $59,103 and a 21-month low the previous day. This bearish price action is supported by the ongoing institutional sell-off, which recorded an outflow of over $469 million on Wednesday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.