EUR/USD probes key hurdle as risk assets remain bid


  • EUR/USD rises as risk-on weighs over the US dollar. 
  • Stocks cheer coronavirus vaccine optimism, commodities rally.
  • The pair's rally may lose steam if the German data disappoints expectations. 

EUR/USD challenges key hurdle and could soon chart a breakout, as risk remains bid on coronavirus vaccine optimism. 

The pair found buyers below 1.2130 in Asia and tested the crucial resistance at 1.2149 soon before press time. That level proved a tough nut to crack on Feb. 11. 

The anti-risk dollar is under pressure, with the Asian stocks and the futures tied to the S&P 500 cheering the UK's vaccine rollout success and Monday's rally in FTSE 100, UK's benchmark equity index. The buoyant risk sentiment could also be attributed to the rally in oil and industrial metals such as copper. 

A continued risk-on during the European trading hours could end up pushing EUR/USD well above 1.2149. However, the sustainability of the gains depends on Eurozone and German data scheduled for release later today. 

Eurozone's preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reading for Q4 2020 is expected to show the economy contracted by 0.7 quarter-on-quarter and 5.1% year-on-year in the final three months of 2020. 

A big miss on expectations could draw offers for the single currency. More substantial selling pressure may hit the market if the forward-looking German Zew Survey indices for the Current Situation and Economic Sentiment paint a gloomy picture of the Eurozone's largest economy. 

A continued rise in the US Treasury yields may weigh over the equity markets and boost demand for dollars, putting brakes on EUR/USD's rally. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2147
Today Daily Change 0.0016
Today Daily Change % 0.13
Today daily open 1.2131
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2103
Daily SMA50 1.2157
Daily SMA100 1.1993
Daily SMA200 1.1741
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2145
Previous Daily Low 1.2117
Previous Weekly High 1.215
Previous Weekly Low 1.202
Previous Monthly High 1.235
Previous Monthly Low 1.2054
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2134
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2128
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2117
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2103
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2089
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2145
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2159
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2173

 

 

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