|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Holds near 1.1800 after pulling back from three-month highs

  • EUR/USD hit a three-month high of 1.1808 on Wednesday.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index sits at 71, signaling overbought conditions that may cap near-term upside.
  • The initial support lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.1745.

EUR/USD holds gains for the third successive session, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 71 (overbought), which could temper immediate upside as momentum stretches. An RSI overbought status would favor consolidation phases before trend resumption.

The nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rises above the 50-day EMA, and spot holds north of both, reinforcing a bullish bias. The longer average is turning higher, underscoring improving trend conditions. Short-term momentum remains firm while the positive EMA alignment persists.

The EUR/USD pair tests the psychological level of 1.1800, followed by the three-month high of 1.1808, which was recorded on December 24. A break above this confluence resistance area would open the doors toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.1880, followed by 1.1918, the highest level since June 2021.

On the downside, the EUR/USD pair could find its immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 1.1745, aligned with the lower ascending channel boundary around 1.1740. A break below the channel would undermine short-term momentum, exposing the pair to a test of the 50-day EMA near 1.1660. Further downside could see prices retest the three-week low at 1.1589, set on December 1.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.01%-0.12%-0.22%-0.09%-0.08%-0.05%-0.05%
EUR-0.01%-0.14%-0.22%-0.10%-0.09%-0.06%-0.06%
GBP0.12%0.14%-0.08%0.04%0.05%0.08%0.08%
JPY0.22%0.22%0.08%0.14%0.14%0.16%0.17%
CAD0.09%0.10%-0.04%-0.14%-0.00%0.02%0.04%
AUD0.08%0.09%-0.05%-0.14%0.00%0.03%-0.01%
NZD0.05%0.06%-0.08%-0.16%-0.02%-0.03%0.00%
CHF0.05%0.06%-0.08%-0.17%-0.04%0.00%-0.00%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday. 

Gold rallies above $5,150 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $5,150 in the Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, which boost safe-haven flows. US-Iran geopolitical risks also linger, supporting the Gold price upside. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears

Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.